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kerouac9

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I think that this is really the case. Weatherspoon and McClain are both really good players, but they aren't the impact players on defense that Jason Pierre-Paul, Brandon Graham, Earl Thomas, Eric Berry, Joe Haden, Derrick Morgan, Jerry Hughes, Kyle Wilson, & Sergio Kindle all are. Also keep in mind that at least 5 offensive tackles will be taken in the first round, along with 2 or 3 wide receivers & running backs. Add in the top two d tackles, QB's, and Jermaine Gresham and that is ton of impact talent that will probably be taken before these guys.

A perfect example of this is the Eagles. Many people have the Eagles taking a Weatherspoon in the first round, but the Eagles haven't drafted a linebacker above the 3rd round in the past several years. They just don't seem to value that position high in the draft.

I know that you mean "could be" there.

I'm not sure that there will be 2 or 3 WRs taken in the first round. I'm not sure that there will be one WR taken in the first round. There were 6 WRs taken in the first round last year; there possibly isn't as much need. There certainly isn't the same number of high-profile prospects as there were in 2009.

This WR class reminds me much more of 2008, when zero WRs were taken in the first round, but 10 were taken in the second(!). In 2006, one WR was taken in the first round (Santonio Holmes), and then four more came off the board in the second. I think that's probably what we'll see here. Dez Bryant will go to someone in the mid-teens, but are the Jets really going to get fired up for Golden Tate?

I think that we'll see three OTs go in the Top 10 or 12 picks (Okung, Williams, and Bulaga), and up to 5 go in the first round (Campbell and Brown). I have a hard time believing that we'll se more than one RB taken in the first (Spiller); I wouldn't be surprised to see the Fresno State kid go in the second after the Chargers trade back (or take Cody if we pass on him).

The real question is how many DTs go in the first, and how many DEs. I'm not sure that this DE class is all it's cracked up to be; there doesn't seem to be a lot of momentum behind it. If five come off the board, the Cards'll be in good shape.

I also think that DB is going to be interesting here. Only 2 DBs were drafted in the first last year; there's some pent up demand at the position. In 2008, 6 DBs came off the board in the first; 7 were drafted there in 2007, 7 more in 2006, 6 in 2005, 5 in 2004. If the number of DBs reverts toward the mean last season, it'll cause guys like McClain and Weatherspoon to slide, as well.
 

Pariah

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I'm not sure that there will be 2 or 3 WRs taken in the first round. I'm not sure that there will be one WR taken in the first round. There were 6 WRs taken in the first round last year; there possibly isn't as much need. There certainly isn't the same number of high-profile prospects as there were in 2009.
Another factor that might come into play is that next offseason there are an inordinate number of very good WRs scheduled to hit the FA market. I don't know which way that cuts, though: do those teams that are facing he possibility of losing these guys draft a WR early? Or, does it mean that more teams are thinking they can get an established guy and not have to worry about drafting and developing a young kid?
 

Crazy Canuck

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K-9...

So... DEZ BRYANT is on the board at #26.... we pass?
 
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