That's a great analogy. Better than Vince Young or Matt Leinart, but not gonna win the big one.
Look at the AFC now:
AFC East:
NYJ: Geno should have been able to lock this down by now, but seems to have been overestimated. Has a weak O around him hampering judgement. Vick is of little consequence at this point.
New England: Brady seems human for the first time, as the Pats suffer from poor drafting and losing trades for the first time. HOF qb is nearing the end of his useful career unless Pats acquire far more talent.
Bills: Took Manuel as the first qb last year, but if you're benched for Kyle Orton, there's trouble in River City. Still searching, also with weak O around him. Both Jets and Bills have tremendous defensive fronts, weak offensive fronts.
Miami: Tannehill looking like the surprise of his draft. With effective coaching and playmakers, has done well in spite of the collapse of his O Line in a weird way. He'll be their guy for a long time.
NFC South:
Jacksonville: Weak roster challenges true individual evaluation, but Bortles seems like the real deal. They should build around him.
Indy: Lucky Indianapolis lucked into the best qb of his generation yet again. Give Andrew Luck enough weapons and he'll be a champion. Total franchise.
Tennessee: Whiz is in a bad spot, having to develop a qb. Locker peaks at mediocre at the NFL level. No hope for now.
Houston: Schaub went from Pro Bowl to toilet bowl overnight and was dumped. Fitzpatrick and the rookie are dudes. Winning with D right now. Need a long term guy.
AFC North:
Pittsburgh: Roethlisberger has taken his team to three SB's, has immense talent, but the glory days are gone as the team cycles down into rebuilding. He's ten years in. Won't win another. Franchise entrenched.
Baltimore: Flacco doesn't get enough credit. He's not a HOFer but is a winner if the team is good. He's Romo-esque. But he just signed a $100MM deal and is entrenched. Franchise.
Cincinnati: It's been in vogue to trash Dalton, but he's the firm leader of one of the best teams in the NFL. He won't be unseated. Franchise.
Cleveland: Hoyer is an actual grownup, and will lead the team until Manziel impresses anyone. Josh Gordon's absence hurts badly. The D is good, but this roster is thready. Need a long term answer in a lot of spots. Manziel? We'll see, but I never thought so.
AFC West:
Denver: Enjoying the fruits of the ageless wonder right now, built to win this year. Manning may be the best ever, but doesn't have long. Maybe Osweiler can go all Aaron Rodgers on them. Franchise for now.
KC: Alex Smith is an enigma. Can look highly competent at times and buffoonish at others. He'll win often enough to visit the playoffs, but can you really see him hoisting the Lombardi? His contract holds him in franchise place.
Oakland: Derek Carr has big potential, but sadly, has gone to the most dysfunctional team in the league. They should build around him.
San Diego: Philip Rivers is a high quality qb that can win and go deep. Firmly entrenched franchise player.
Aging quality quarterbacks who will be around a bit longer and win with a decent team: New England, Pittsburgh, Denver, San Diego
Middle of the road entrenched QB's. KC, Miami, Ciincinnati, Baltimore
Young potential studs: Jacksonville, Oakland
Young stars: Indy
Troubled teams: NYJ, Cleveland, Houston, Buffalo, Tennessee
Best overall situation : Indy
Upcoming early qb draft picks: Houston, Tennesee, Jets