A .500 finish and we are in the tournament, assuming we stay out of the play-in game, period.
Why?
Though the Devils RPI might not be that strong (#59 as it stands right now, and will only improve with the remaing schedule), ASU has 4 wins agaisnt the top 25 in the RPI... 4
To put this into perspective, only Purdue (Big-10 Leader), Texas (Virtual Tie Big-12 leader), and Duke (ACC leader) have as many wins as the Devils....
When it comes to selection Sunday, and ASU is 19-12, or 20-12... They will look at quality of conference (#1), Quality of Wins (As of this moment we have enough quality wins for an at-large birth), and how they finish the season....
So a win against Cal tommarrow, a split in Washington, assuming we get the Oregon St game, we will only need 1 win against USC, UCLA, and @Oregon to secure a winning record in the Pac-10, and if that is the case, we are in automatically.. But as of right now, ASU has their fate in their hands, and barring a late collapse (losing to Cal, Washington, Oregon St. would be considered collasping) the Devils are in!