Insider - Chad Ford- Best NBA prospects in the Oakland & Atlanta Region

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Updated: March 14, 2006, 12:42 PM ET

Best NBA prospects in the Oakland Region
By Chad Ford
ESPN Insider

ESPN Insider talked to multiple NBA scouts and GMs to give you a look at the top five NBA prospects (and a few more) they'll be watching in each NCAA region.

Oakland Region

1. Memphis' Rodney Carney (SF, Sr.), Shawne Williams (SF, Fr.) and Darius Washington (PG, So.)

The Good: Carney might be the best athlete in the draft. Combine that with his sweet shooting touch from the perimeter and four years of college experience under a former NBA coach, and he has the makings of a lottery pick.
Williams doesn't have the experience, but he has all the physical tools you look for in a small forward. He's long, athletic and a solid shooter, and he has the ability to run the team as a point forward.
Washington is a dynamic scorer who uses his quickness and strength to finish around the basket.


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Nick Laham/Getty Images
Will Rodney Carney's stock soar during the Tournament?

The Bad: Carney has unbelievable tools, but what about his heart? He can disappear for stretches and doesn't have the killer instinct you look for in a top pick.
Williams suffers from similar issues. Consistency is a huge issue for him, though he can at least point to age as a possible mitigating factor.
Many scouts believe Washington isn't a real point guard. His assist-to-turnover ratio doesn't really show much evidence that he is, and his shooting touch seems to have disappeared this season.


The Upside: Carney is already a lottery pick, but if he were to have a dominating performance at the Big Dance, he could be a top-five pick. All that scouts are waiting for at this point is for him to show that he can come up big when the stakes are this high.
Williams is in a similar position. He's a mid-first-rounder at the moment based on his upside, but a big performance here would push him into the lottery.
Washington needs to return to Memphis for another year. His numbers this season are down across the board, and most scouts think he's a player without a position in the pros.
2. Gonzaga's Adam Morrison (SF, Jr.)

The Good: Some scouts believe he is the best basketball player in the country. He has an unbelievable feel for the game and combines that with a passion for winning that's nearly unrivaled in college basketball. Morrison also has good size for his position, has improved his long-range shooting and is a leader on the court.

The Bad: Athleticism is the biggest issue. Morrison is not a bad athlete, but he's far from an elite one. That means he has to work very hard to get his own shot. He's developed a number of tricks to make it happen on the college level, but will they work in the NBA? On the defensive end, it's just ugly. He can barely guard anyone in college. The fact that he has diabetes also creates a question mark.

The Upside: Morrison is getting serious consideration as a potential No. 1 pick in the draft. It's almost inconceivable at this point that he'll fall out of the top five. If he and the Zags have a huge tournament, he could become a lock for No. 1 in the eyes of some lottery teams.

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Andy Lyons/Getty Images
This Razorback can do it all ... except shoot with beauty.

3. Arkansas' Ronnie Brewer (PG/SG, Jr.)

The Good: Brewer has all the physical tools to be a great guard in the pros. He's long, athletic and a skilled ballhandler who can play either the point or the two-guard position. He's also a fierce competitor and a good defender when he wants to be.

The Bad: He may have the ugliest shot in college basketball. A childhood injury to his elbow means that his mechanics might be unfixable.

The Upside: If Brewer could shoot, he'd be a lock for the top five, but because of his shooting woes, his stock is a little more fluid. A great tournament could help overcome the detractors who wonder if he's really that much better than Washington's Brandon Roy.
4. Kansas' Julian Wright (PF, Fr.), Brandon Rush (SG, Fr.) and Mario Chalmers (PG, Fr.)

The Good: Kansas has three big-time freshmen who could be first-round prospects. Wright has the most upside of the group. He's long, super-athletic and an excellent ballhandler for his size.
Rush is the most polished of the group and looks like a prototypical NBA swingman. He's not all that flashy, but he does just about everything well, including shooting the ball at a 49 percent clip from 3-point land this year.
Chalmers is a steady point guard who can shoot the ball with range and get all over opposing point guards defensively.

The Bad: Wright doesn't really have a go-to offensive game yet. He collects most of his buckets in transition or off offensive rebounds. He could also stand to add a little more muscle to that wiry frame.
Rush has been in a small slump lately, but the biggest complaint is that he doesn't have one particular elite skill.
Chalmers is still young and inexperienced and prone to turnovers.

The Upside: Ideally, this Kansas team will stick together one more season. But realistically, you can bet that at least one of them will bolt. Wright has really improved during the second half of the season. Scouts seriously considered him a first-round prospect coming out of high school and now have him on the lottery bubble. A good performance for Kansas could make him one and done.
Rush is also itching to make the jump to the pros. Right now he's on the first-round bubble, but a strong performance under pressure could push his stock firmly into the first round.
Chalmers gets the least attention, but he's been the best player on the floor for KU the last month of the season, and he was the biggest reason the Jayhawks won the Big 12 tournament. In a draft without standout point guards, Chalmers is interesting.

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Lisa Blumenfeld/Getty Images
Jordan Farmar is the key to UCLA's offense.

5. UCLA's Jordan Farmar (PG, So.) and Arron Afflalo (SG, So.)

The Good: Farmar is one of the best pure point guards in the country. He sees the floor as well as any guard in college hoops.
Afflalo is one of the best scorers in the country. He has a beautiful mid-range game and has developed his 3-point shot. He also has the ability to put the ball on the floor and take it to the basket.

The Bad: Farmar's improvement from his freshman to sophomore year has been minimal. He still struggles shooting the ball from long distance and his turnovers are still too high.
Afflalo is an average athlete, at best -- neither very quick nor an explosive leaper. Scouts say he's probably closer to 6-4, which makes him a little undersized for a two-guard.

The Upside: Teams are always looking for point guards, and despite Farmar's up-and-down year, most scouts believe he's a solid prospect. He's probably a late first-rounder at this point, but a great tournament would really boost his stock.
Afflalo is firmly mired in the second round at this point, though a big-time performance could conceivably boost him into the first round.
SLEEPERS: Bradley's Patrick O'Bryant (C, So.) and Pittsburgh's Aaron Gray (C, Jr.)

The Good: The NBA is always looking for big guys, and O'Bryant and Gray are relative newcomers who have piqued scouts' interest. They also happen to be totally different players. O'Bryant is a long, lanky, athletic big man who thrives at blocking shots and rebounding. Gray is a husky, plodding big man who has shown a soft touch in the paint and the ability to use his girth to pull down rebounds.

The Bad: O'Bryant is still very unproven. He hasn't had to play against top competition. He also needs to add some muscle and toughness. While he's not soft, he's also not much of a warrior. Gray is a below-average athlete and has struggled with conditioning issues in the past.

The Upside: They're both big, and in a draft short in big men, they're both very much on the radar screen. Gray is probably a late first-round pick right now, but he could move up to the mid-first round with a great tournament. O'Bryant is currently projected as a second-rounder, but with his athletic upside, a big tournament could send his stock into the stratosphere.
Others to watch: C.J. Giles, C, Kansas; Sasha Kaun, C, Kansas; Carl Krauser, PG, Pittsburgh; Steve Novak, F, Marquette; Jermareo Davidson, F/C, Alabama; Ronald Steele, PG, Alabama; Richard Hendrix, PF, Alabama; J.P. Batista, F/C, Gonzaga; Marco Killingsworth, PF, Indiana; Marcus Slaughter, PF, San Diego State.
 
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Updated: March 14, 2006, 12:34 PM ET

Best NBA prospects in the Atlanta Region

By Chad Ford
ESPN Insider

ESPN Insider talked to multiple NBA scouts and GMs to give you a look at the top five NBA prospects (and a few more) they'll be watching in each NCAA region.

Atlanta Region

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Bob Donnan/US Presswire
J.J. Redick could make most shots with his eyes closed.


1. Duke's J.J. Redick (SG, Sr.), Shelden Williams (PF, Sr.) and Josh McRoberts (PF, Fr.)

The Good: By now you may have heard of this guy Redick. He can shoot from just about anywhere on the floor. He is an unbelievable competitor who has diversified his offensive game and gives a great effort on the defensive end.
Williams, nicknamed "The Landlord," is a big-time rebounder and shot blocker who has expanded his offensive repertoire this year.
McRoberts may have more NBA potential than Redick or Williams. He's a big combo forward with great all-around game. There's little this guy can't do. His numbers haven't been huge his freshman season, but that's a product of playing next to Redick and Williams.

The Bad: Redick scores, but what else does he do? He's not a rebounder and he doesn't dish out assists. He's undersized to play the two in the pros and will likely be a defensive liability thanks to a lack of lateral quickness and explosiveness.
Williams isn't the world's best athlete, either. He gets off the floor quickly, but he's average everywhere else. He is still raw offensively and hasn't developed his game the way scouts had hoped he would.
McRoberts is still inexperienced and scouts wonder who he'll be able to guard at the next level.

The Upside: Redick has all of the player of the year buzz, but he may be the last of the three off the draft board. He needs to redeem a terrible tournament performance last year to have a shot at being in the top 10. As good as he is in college, some scouts still aren't convinced that he'll be a star in the pros -- he may be better suited to fill a Jeff Hornacek-type of role in the pros.
Williams is one of the few big men in the draft who can step in and contribute right away. He's a known quantity who probably can't move the needle much in the tourney.
McRoberts has the most to gain. If he plays big on the big stage, he has the potential to be a top-seven pick in the draft.
2. Texas' LaMarcus Aldridge (PF, So.), Daniel Gibson (PG, So.) and P.J. Tucker (F, Jr.)

The Good: Aldridge is a fluid, athletic big man who can play inside and out. Despite his size, he's quite skilled. He's really improved his rebounding and inside play this year.
Gibson is an athletic combo guard with an excellent jumper and a scorer's mentality.
Tucker is hard to define. He's a 6-foot-5 power forward who may be the best player off the dribble on the Texas squad.


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Getty
LaMarcus Aldridge has long arms and a whole lotta upside.


The Bad: Aldridge needs more experience and he could still use another 20 pounds of muscle to bang inside in the NBA.
Gibson is 6-2 and doesn't possess the point guard skills everyone though he did. He's really struggled to run the team.
Did we mention that Tucker is a 6-foot-5 power forward?


The Upside: Aldridge is a great prospect whose numbers don't really reflect how good he's been this season. He just hasn't had the right guards to get him the ball. He's a likely top-three pick if he comes out, regardless of how he plays in the tournament.
Gibson needs a huge tournament if he's thinking about coming out. Right now he's on the first-round bubble.
Tucker is one of the toughest players in the draft to project. A handful of scouts love him and compare him to a young Charles Barkley. The rest say his game won't translate at the next level. He's been great all year, and it's not clear the tournament will resolve the question one way or the other.
3. LSU's Tyrus Thomas (PF, Fr.)

The Good:Thomas is an elite athlete who runs the floor like a deer, cleans the glass and blocks shots. He often gets compared to Stromile Swift, another top-tier athlete from LSU. However, Thomas has two things going for him that Swift didn't. One, he's got a great motor. Two, he actually understands how to play the game. How good would Swift be if he had those two attributes? Exactly.

The Bad: He's not ready for the NBA. He needs at least another year of experience. He needs to improve his offensive repertoire and bulk up to handle the rigors of the NBA. But that's about it.

The Upside: Thomas is the biggest surprise of the year. He didn't begin the season in our Top 100 and has risen all the way to No. 5. A small handful of NBA scouts say that he has more upside than anyone in the draft. His relative lack of experience will probably keep him from rising much higher, but if he has a big tournament (he's been injured for the last few weeks, so it's still unclear whether he's even playing), he's got a shot.

4. California's Leon Powe (PF, So.)

The Good: Powe may be the best low-post scorer in the country. The guy is a warrior in the paint at both ends of the floor. His long arms and athleticism allow him to play bigger than he actually is. He really has a great feel for the game and plays hard on every possession.


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Cal's Leon Powe can wow us if he's healthy.

The Bad: Two major knee surgeries this early into his career have scouts worried. He's about 6-7, short for a four.

The Upside: When he decides to come out, his physical exam will mean more than anything he can do in the tournament. He's been one of the best players in the country this season. If his knee checks out, he's got a shot of going in the 20s. If it doesn't, he has a shot at going undrafted.
5. North Carolina State's Cedric Simmons (PF, So.)

The Good: A big-time athlete with a body that's beginning to fill out. Unbelievable shot blocker. Explosive leaper. Excellent rebounder. Long arms (has a 7-4 wingspan) give him a chance to be a center in the pros. Has put on quite a bit of muscle. Shows a lot of toughness in the paint, especially on the defensive end. Great in the open court.

The Bad: A very raw player on the offensive end. No real shooting touch to speak of. Gets most of his points via dunks. His four-point, zero-rebound effort against Wake Forest in the ACC tournament did nothing to help his stock.

The Upside: Simmons had a breakout 28-point, nine-rebound game versus Duke in January that grabbed the attention of a lot of scouts. This is a terrible draft for bigs, so any big guy with a pulse is catching the eye of scouts right now. Simmons isn't ready for the NBA, but he's got a lot of potential and that could be enough to get him drafted in the late first round … or maybe higher.
SLEEPER: West Virginia's Mike Gansey (SG, Sr.)

The Good: For a guy one scout called a poor man's J.J. Redick, he sure looks as though he could be more. For starters, he's shooting at a better clip from 3-point land than Redick (45 percent compared with 41 percent). He's also a much better rebounder than Redick, keeps his turnovers down and, although he doesn't look it, is a better athlete.

The Bad: He's undersized to play the two, he isn't an exceptional athlete and, as with Redick, his lack of lateral quickness is going to hurt him defensively in the NBA.

The Upside: Gansey doesn't look anything like an NBA player. But scouts are having a hard time ignoring what he's doing this season. He hasn't had the hype Redick has this season, but a couple of scouts have whispered that he might be a better NBA prospect. He's still a second-round prospect at this point, but a big tournament for Gansey could lift him into the first round.
Others to watch: Texas A&M's Joseph Jones (PF); LSU's Glen Davis (PF/C); LSU's Tasmin Mitchell (SF); West Virginia's Kevin Pittsnogle (PF/C); Syracuse's Gerry McNamara (PG); Syracuse's Eric Devendorf (PG/SG); George Washington's Pops Mensah-Bonsu (F); California's DeVon Hardin (C); Iowa's Jeff Horner (PG).


Chad Ford covers the NBA for ESPN Insider.
 

George O'Brien

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boisesuns said:
Memphis has some great players.

And that doesn't count the guy who got away... Amare committed to them and would be a senior this season. Can you imagine Amare on that team?
 

boisesuns

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George O'Brien said:
And that doesn't count the guy who got away... Amare committed to them and would be a senior this season. Can you imagine Amare on that team?


I would get to see him play more often!

:eek:
 
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