Are we sure about that? I was trying to work this out with my dad last night.
Carolina and Cincy have 2 wins or less; we're not going to get in front of them. Denver, Detroit, and Buffalo all have 3 wins; can any of them win 2 more games?
DET: @TB, @MIA, v. MIN
DEN: @OAK, v. HOU, v. SD
BUF: @MIA, v. NE, @NYJ
I think Detroit could co 2-1 there; Denver might lose out, and I think Buffalo could win at least one of those.
I guess the Cards could get to six wins, but they'd have the highest pick among the six-win teams. To get to 14, the Cards would have to win two more games, and SF, WAS, TEN, HOU, MIN, and CLE have to lose out. I don't think that's a mathmatical possibility, because DEN plays both OAK and HOU.
I wish there were a draft order scenario machine where I could get the possibilities, but I think it's unlikely that we're picking below 10, and unlikely we're picking above 7.