playstation
Selfless Service
i wanted to revisit that matchup last year. it's all well and good when robinson says KT did a great job, but that's not good enough for me. i also didn't want to look at averages, as that misses a lot of the story to me. this is what i came up with
we know the intangibles:
-KT did his defense mostly in a 1on1 context. eliminating double-coverage was a positive he provided.
-KT was excellent at denying position and working BEFORE Duncan got the ball
here's the stats:
Gm1: KT 13min, Duncan 33/16/1 on 50% 2 fouls, rest of spurs: 50%,Spurs win by 5
Gm2: KT 28min, Duncan 29/11/1 on 60% 4 fouls, rest of spurs: 37%,Suns win by 20
Gm3: KT 36min, Duncan 33/19/0 on 63% 4 fouls, rest of spurs: 38%,Spurs win by 7
Gm4: KT 26min, Duncan 21/11/2 on 64% 5 fouls, rest of spurs: 44%,Suns win by 6
Gm5: KT 36min, Duncan 21/12/2 on 50% 3 fouls, rest of spurs: 38%,Spurs win by 3
Gm6: KT 17min, Duncan 24/13/1 on 58% 3 fouls, rest of spurs: 46%,Spurs win by 8
Observations:
-Obviously, Game 1 is the doomsday scenario we are all fearing. No KT, Duncan kills us individually, but also we have to double and the rest of the team also kills us. Of course, even in that scenario it took a bloody nose to stop us.
-I look across the board, no where do i see Duncan stopped. In fact, no where do I even see him slowed down.
-Seems like KT's value was mainly in being able to guard 1on1 without fouling, but he still let Duncan do whatever he wanted. Sure TD had to work harder, but he still scored VERY efficiently.
-For all the good KT did, if this is the result, then you have to wonder about this strategy.
-Compared to the other playoff series, TD played his BEST in this one. While KT was decent, looking back at it I wouldn't call him good.
We must acknowledge at this point vs the Suns that Duncan is unstoppable. He's going to get his, and he's getting them efficiently. No more 'who's guarding Tim' questions. Nobody is stopping him. However, given what Duncan has done, the question is can what we do against the rest of his team, as well as our value offensively to trump that?
This is where it gets interesting. First of all, we have Skinner/Marks. These guys, while not excellent defenders, will fight him and you have 12 fouls there no matter how you slice it (18 with PJ). You also have a smarter Amare, who again will not be able to stop Duncan, but the hope is if he has to guard for a couple minutes he won't foul out (assuming Donahy isn't officiating lol). You also have Boris, who is an extremely smart defender, although lacks great talent.
So you have the meat. You also need a bit of intelligence. You're not outsmarting Duncan, but you can outsmart the rest of their team. Spend 30-40% of the time guarding him 1on1, but the rest of the time, bring the double. But don't do it the same way every time. sometimes strong side, sometimes weak side, sometimes exclusively off 1 player (their worst shooter). Keep the rest of the guys guessing. This takes DISCIPLINE, something that needs to be developed during this season.
And one more thing:
Suns v Spurs, Feb 1 2007.
Suns 103, Spurs 87. Duncan 20/18/4 on 33%...KT was a DNP injury. This was with James Jones getting 21 min, Raja playing only 10 cause of injury, and the Spurs having a fully health team (and Manu dropping 32).
My point is this can be done. It takes better coaching, it takes better defensive awareness, and it takes bodies to give fouls in the middle of the game. All of these things are do-able.
we know the intangibles:
-KT did his defense mostly in a 1on1 context. eliminating double-coverage was a positive he provided.
-KT was excellent at denying position and working BEFORE Duncan got the ball
here's the stats:
Gm1: KT 13min, Duncan 33/16/1 on 50% 2 fouls, rest of spurs: 50%,Spurs win by 5
Gm2: KT 28min, Duncan 29/11/1 on 60% 4 fouls, rest of spurs: 37%,Suns win by 20
Gm3: KT 36min, Duncan 33/19/0 on 63% 4 fouls, rest of spurs: 38%,Spurs win by 7
Gm4: KT 26min, Duncan 21/11/2 on 64% 5 fouls, rest of spurs: 44%,Suns win by 6
Gm5: KT 36min, Duncan 21/12/2 on 50% 3 fouls, rest of spurs: 38%,Spurs win by 3
Gm6: KT 17min, Duncan 24/13/1 on 58% 3 fouls, rest of spurs: 46%,Spurs win by 8
Observations:
-Obviously, Game 1 is the doomsday scenario we are all fearing. No KT, Duncan kills us individually, but also we have to double and the rest of the team also kills us. Of course, even in that scenario it took a bloody nose to stop us.
-I look across the board, no where do i see Duncan stopped. In fact, no where do I even see him slowed down.
-Seems like KT's value was mainly in being able to guard 1on1 without fouling, but he still let Duncan do whatever he wanted. Sure TD had to work harder, but he still scored VERY efficiently.
-For all the good KT did, if this is the result, then you have to wonder about this strategy.
-Compared to the other playoff series, TD played his BEST in this one. While KT was decent, looking back at it I wouldn't call him good.
We must acknowledge at this point vs the Suns that Duncan is unstoppable. He's going to get his, and he's getting them efficiently. No more 'who's guarding Tim' questions. Nobody is stopping him. However, given what Duncan has done, the question is can what we do against the rest of his team, as well as our value offensively to trump that?
This is where it gets interesting. First of all, we have Skinner/Marks. These guys, while not excellent defenders, will fight him and you have 12 fouls there no matter how you slice it (18 with PJ). You also have a smarter Amare, who again will not be able to stop Duncan, but the hope is if he has to guard for a couple minutes he won't foul out (assuming Donahy isn't officiating lol). You also have Boris, who is an extremely smart defender, although lacks great talent.
So you have the meat. You also need a bit of intelligence. You're not outsmarting Duncan, but you can outsmart the rest of their team. Spend 30-40% of the time guarding him 1on1, but the rest of the time, bring the double. But don't do it the same way every time. sometimes strong side, sometimes weak side, sometimes exclusively off 1 player (their worst shooter). Keep the rest of the guys guessing. This takes DISCIPLINE, something that needs to be developed during this season.
And one more thing:
Suns v Spurs, Feb 1 2007.
Suns 103, Spurs 87. Duncan 20/18/4 on 33%...KT was a DNP injury. This was with James Jones getting 21 min, Raja playing only 10 cause of injury, and the Spurs having a fully health team (and Manu dropping 32).
My point is this can be done. It takes better coaching, it takes better defensive awareness, and it takes bodies to give fouls in the middle of the game. All of these things are do-able.