Right now I feel like we are neutral to slightly above last year.
We have improved at TE, LT, LG, WR, CB, and S
We have REALLY lost at ILB
Our run defense will suffer It is just a fact.
Our pass defense will improve and our offense should be much improved
It is more than a Wash...literally and figuratively. I still expect 9 wins and I hope to compete for a wild card.
Hm... I don't know how much losing Washington is going to hurt our run defense. I think our run defense is going to suffer because Dansby's gone and Ta'amu is hurting. It's going to be a problem; I think you're right about that.
As for the pass defense... I don't know. Having a Top 5 ILB is a only slightly larger impact as having a Top 5 punter on your team. Losing Washington is a problem because we lose a top player at
any position, and perhaps our best pass rusher.
I think we're counting chickens on offensive improvement. I think we can expect better production from QB and RB because we'll have known quantities there, but TE and WR? Arians said at the start of OTAs that he was surprised how little Ginn has practiced at wide receiver, even as a veteran. Brown is a completely unknown quantity at this point. At tight end, Housler is known to be mediocre, Carlson didn't see 50% of Minnesota's snaps when they were starting QBs who were begging to get rid of the ball quickly, and Niklas isn't going to have an offseason program.
The basement for this team should remain 8-8 from a fan's expectations perspective, though.