I have about the same feeling with the Suns that I had going into last season. Probably about a 6-8 seed. I think the West as a whole has taken a step back, except for the Lakers and Thunder, who I expect to be 1-2 this year.
Utah lost Boozer and hasn't done much to replace him. They are not better.
Denver is still Denver. A disaster waiting to happen. We'll see if the team even stays together for the entire season.
Dallas pretty much stayed put. They are a year older and no better.
Portland is good on paper, but half of their team is chronically injury prone. If they can stay healthy, they will do well, but we say that every year.
San Antonio is basically the same team, but a year older.
Golden State is much improved, but have a rookie coach and new management. Will they gel together and compete the entire year? They should improve, but are probably another year away from being a serious challenger.
Houston has Yao back, but they are injury prone like Portland. They will have to stay healthy and overachieve to really make a difference.
New Orleans is a wild card. Hard for me to gauge what they'll do. They have some good talent, but can they step up and how much does CP3 want to be there?
Memphis should be improved and could surprise. Good corps of young talent, but is Lionel Hollins really the right coach for them?
Clippers, Sacramento, Timberwolves all perpetually suck. No need to discuss further.
Just a loose guess, but I would place the WC like this:
1. Lakers
2. Thunder
3. Denver
4. Portland
5. Memphis
6. Dallas
7. Suns
8. San Antonio
9. Utah
10. New Orleans
11. Houston
12. Golden State
13. Sacramento
14. Clippers
15. Minnesota
Realistically, I don't think it even matters this year. Lakers are so far head of the rest it won't be close. They'll win another title because they will be well rested when the Finals start waiting for Miami, Boston, and Orlando to finish beating each other up.