The Bowles Defense, Why OLBs are overrated, and Why Bucannon Might be the Answer

Chopper0080

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So, this is all my opinion off of what I have read, and what I have seen over the past two years. It may be that we are playing this way due to a lack of personnel, but I tend to believe it is because of a difference in scheme.

First things first, what scheme is Todd Bowles using. We all understand that the Cardinals run a base 3-4 defense. Most of us understand that this is a one-gap scheme which differs from the traditional Steelers 2 gap. K9 posted an article that shows what that means (http://www.arizonasportsfans.com/vb/f4/grantlands-robert-mays-breaks-down-run-defense-212703.html), but essentially this means that each player in the front 7 has a gap, rather than each defensive linemen being assigned 2 gaps, and the LBs being free with no gap responsibility. The Cardinals run primarily man coverage on defense which puts more pressure on the LBs because it requires them to understand their drop zones, while also being able to run to cover RBs and QBs out of the backfield. In passing downs the Cardinals will typically have two DEs and two DTs, but will stand one DE up. It's technically a 3-3 over.

Now, let's look at historical usage. In 2013, the Cardinals top 11 defensive player snaps went to...

Campbell-89%
Dockett-79.9%
Abraham-79.8%
Shaughnessy-66.4%
Dansby-99.6%
Washington-73.8% (92.5% if you add Brinkley's snaps)
Peterson-99.3%
Powers-95.2%
Bell-98.9%
Mathieu-72.1%
Johnson-57.3%

*Breaking that down, you can say that the Cardinals ran 5 DB formations about 55% of the time in 2013. You can also say that the Cardinals ran a defense with two ILBs on it roughly 90% of the time. In fact, the LB positions whose usage fluctuated the most were the OLBs, and those OLBs with the most usage were those who played DE in passing downs.

Now, let's look at 2014 so far.

Top 11 defensive players

Campbell-94.4%
Kelly-65%
Foote-100%
Shaughnessy-69%
Peterson-98.5%
Cromartie-86.3%
Powers-75.6%
Johnson-100%
Jefferson-90.4%
Bucannon-59.4%
Acho-47.2%

Shocking to see, but the Cards have 6 DBs on the field for roughly 55% of defensive plays, and 5 DBs for roughly 72% of plays. Campbell is getting about the same usage, as is Shaughnessy. Kelly is a bit below Dockett's usage, but that is to be expected. Dansby and Foote are largely a wash. Where the Cards show a difference is between Abraham in 2013 and Acho in 2014. There is a 32% snap difference between the two, which makes sense if you believe Acho is a base OLB only. Where you also see a difference is at the ILB spot Washington played in 2013. If you combine Washington & Brinkley's snap % in 2013, it totals 95.5% of defensive snaps which isn't too far of a stretch because they were rarely on the field at the same time. Bucannon's is the main player getting snaps this year without an equal comp in 2013. That is unless you view him as mostly an ILB. If you are looking for players who are making up the snaps lost by Washington/Brinkley (95.5%), look at Bucannon/Minter, whose combined snap % is 98.5%. If you figure some of those snaps were combined, you still end up around that 95% number.

So we have the scheme and we have the usage, what does it tell us. It tells us that Bowles prefers a physical base defense, and a quicker nickel defense. He will typically move the NT out in nickel packages, and slide both DEs inside to DT positions. He will move down our OLBs to DE's, with one standing and one in a 3 point stance. Shaughnessy is normally one of these players, and this year Bowles has used Kareem Martin and Thomas Kaiser in this role while leaving Acho as the base OLB. It tells us that Foote never leaves the field, and Bowles is using Minter/Bucannon to make up for Washington, moreso Bucannon.

One last thing before I start make definitive statements, the most important formation/play in this defense is the double A gap blitz out of our nickel package. Bowles uses this anytime his defense needs pressure to disrupt the flow of the game, or in 3rd and longs where Bowles wants to force the QB to get the ball out of his hands.

OK, time for me to make some statements.

1-The OLB position in this defense is fairly irrelavant. 55% of the time (roughly) that player will be playing a DE rush role in nickle packages. More than that, it is almost exclusively a sub position at one spot (Acho), and has an entrenched starter (Shaughnessy) at the other. I would argue that what the Cardinals really need to add is a rush DE can stand up at times in a 3-4 as an OLB more than a 3-4 OLB who can play at times with his hand down.

2-From a pass rush standpoint, the ILB is far more important because of Bowles's significant usage if the double A gap blitz to generate quick, interior pressure. This is why Bucannon might be the answer to the Cardinals pass rush problems. Clearly the Cardinals prefer to have speed on the field in nickel packages, and they are clearly more confident in Bucannon's ability to cover than they are in Minter's. So, Bucannon will be the player being given the opportunities to blitz and put pressure on the CB, and his ability to do so could be the key to the Cards improving their pressure on opposing QBs in passing situations.

side note...I'm sorry if this comes off sloppy and disjointed. I had a tough time putting it together, but wanted to get it out while it was fresh in my mind.
 

gmabel830

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Great write up.. I'm left wondering though, is Bowles scheming to fit the personnel that we have or is this really "The Bowles Defense"? Are you thinking that they purposely ignored brining in the right pass rushing talent at the OLB position (in terms of draft/free agent dollars capital) because of the system he wantsa to run, or is Bowles simply doing a great job given the hand that he has been dealt?

I'd be curious to read if someone were to go back and look at Bowles history and see if this is always the way he has schemed or if he did less A-gap blitzing when he had better talent coming off the edge. Doubt anyone has time for that, but that would be a really telling read.
 

MrYeahBut

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Mathieu was in on 70+% of the plays last year and doesn't even show up this year. It's got to put a strain on the scheme as he's one of the really dynamic players. Bowles is covering for that too.

The rush DE, is the FO ever going to address this in any significant way?

.
 

juza76

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keim today he said they are looking to improve olb spot even by a trade even if he knows that is difficult cause all teams want keep their good pass rushers
 
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Chopper0080

Chopper0080

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keim today he said they are looking to improve olb spot even by a trade even if he knows that is difficult cause all teams want keep their good pass rushers

Yes, it is a base OLB position, but their type is going to be a player who fits as a DE out of the nickel because the Cardinals use two ILBs in nickel packages.
 

kerouac9

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Great work, Chopper. The open question is whether this arrangement is so by design, or by necessity? I have a hard time believing that this defensive staff would rather not have an outsider rusher who is capable of defeating one-on-one blocking--which is clearly what they lack right now.

I also doubt that the staff wants to have to rush the middle as often as they are. Mainly for the reason of which we are all well-aware: vacating the middle of the D for blitzers opens up huge opportunities for tight ends as hot routes, who only have to defeat smaller safeties to achieve huge gains.

Another thought: I think that we might be one-gapping with our interior linemen and two-gapping with our outside linebackers, particularly on run downs. That makes some sense structurally, and might make sense for why guys like Acho and Shaugnessey seem to drive right at the opposing tackle instead of getting around him.

We're using 6 DBs as often as the rest of the NFL plays with 5, but that's because our ILB position is a dumpster fire, and Bucannon is playing a defined ILB role, methinks.
 

az jam

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keim today he said they are looking to improve olb spot even by a trade even if he knows that is difficult cause all teams want keep their good pass rushers

I also heard Keim on the Doug & Wolf show this morning. He did say that our number one problem and priority is an OLB that can rush the qb. Don't think we will get that filled till the "off season."
 

juza76

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Yes, it is a base OLB position, but their type is going to be a player who fits as a DE out of the nickel because the Cardinals use two ILBs in nickel packages.

who do u think is a type of olb bowles would like to have on his defense?
 
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Chopper0080

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Great write up.. I'm left wondering though, is Bowles scheming to fit the personnel that we have or is this really "The Bowles Defense"? Are you thinking that they purposely ignored brining in the right pass rushing talent at the OLB position (in terms of draft/free agent dollars capital) because of the system he wantsa to run, or is Bowles simply doing a great job given the hand that he has been dealt?

I'd be curious to read if someone were to go back and look at Bowles history and see if this is always the way he has schemed or if he did less A-gap blitzing when he had better talent coming off the edge. Doubt anyone has time for that, but that would be a really telling read.

I think we are seeing Bucannon used as an ILB due to personnel, but I believe the 3-3 over nickel package is a staple of Bowles defense, along with the corresponding dbl A gap blitz out of it.
 
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Chopper0080

Chopper0080

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Great work, Chopper. The open question is whether this arrangement is so by design, or by necessity? I have a hard time believing that this defensive staff would rather not have an outsider rusher who is capable of defeating one-on-one blocking--which is clearly what they lack right now.

I also doubt that the staff wants to have to rush the middle as often as they are. Mainly for the reason of which we are all well-aware: vacating the middle of the D for blitzers opens up huge opportunities for tight ends as hot routes, who only have to defeat smaller safeties to achieve huge gains.

Another thought: I think that we might be one-gapping with our interior linemen and two-gapping with our outside linebackers, particularly on run downs. That makes some sense structurally, and might make sense for why guys like Acho and Shaugnessey seem to drive right at the opposing tackle instead of getting around him.

We're using 6 DBs as often as the rest of the NFL plays with 5, but that's because our ILB position is a dumpster fire, and Bucannon is playing a defined ILB role, methinks.

No, I think Bowles would like a better "Elephant Rusher" player similar to how he used Abraham last year so he is not as reliant on the A gap blitz to generate pressure. That being said, I believe Bowles uses the so frequently because it generates quick pressure, and he can use his outside players in a contain rush vs mobile QBs.

In the end, I believe we as fans need to understand that when we are adding a pass rush threat on the outside, we are looking for more of a small DE than a big LB. Ryan Shazier would never have played OLB in our scheme. As we are looking at viable LBs this offseason, we need to remember what it is our defense is looking for that player to do.

One further piece is that Bowoles isn't looking for size inside. He is looking for speed, and quick diagnosis. I am looking at Shaq Thompson out of Washington because I am guessing he will be a top target for the Cardinals in next year's draft.
 
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Chopper0080

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who do u think is a type of olb bowles would like to have on his defense?

About 6'4 260-265 is probably the approx size. Obviously there can be a give and take, but from what I cna tell we are looking more for Demarcus Ware vs. Von Miller. Von Miller would be moved inside in this defense.
 

Vermont Maverick

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Good stuff, Chopper.

I remember many on this board always clamoring for ADub to play LB. What is interesting is that Bucannon is playing exactly that, and his skill set reminds me very much of ADub.
 

Dan H

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No, I think Bowles would like a better "Elephant Rusher" player similar to how he used Abraham last year so he is not as reliant on the A gap blitz to generate pressure. That being said, I believe Bowles uses the so frequently because it generates quick pressure, and he can use his outside players in a contain rush vs mobile QBs.

In the end, I believe we as fans need to understand that when we are adding a pass rush threat on the outside, we are looking for more of a small DE than a big LB. Ryan Shazier would never have played OLB in our scheme. As we are looking at viable LBs this offseason, we need to remember what it is our defense is looking for that player to do.

One further piece is that Bowoles isn't looking for size inside. He is looking for speed, and quick diagnosis. I am looking at Shaq Thompson out of Washington because I am guessing he will be a top target for the Cardinals in next year's draft.

Where does Kareem Martin fit in that mix, do you think?
 
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Chopper0080

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Where does Kareem Martin fit in that mix, do you think?

Ideally, he will take over Abraham's spot as the elephant backer (stand up DE in nickel). More likely, he will end up in Shaughnessy's role. I haven't been able to get a good handle on his rush ability (hand usage, first step, running the arc, counters) so I don't know for sure. Hopefully the Cards will continue to use him more, and we will get a better idea going forward.
 
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Chopper0080

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Good stuff, Chopper.

I remember many on this board always clamoring for ADub to play LB. What is interesting is that Bucannon is playing exactly that, and his skill set reminds me very much of ADub.

Similar size, but I don't think Wilson was ever as instinctual as Bucannon is. Bucannon just has a good feel for the football field which is impressive, and allows him to play all over.

Peterson, Mathieu, and Bucannon is a really nice group of young secondary players going forward. Jefferson has been a nice surprise as well.
 

az jam

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Similar size, but I don't think Wilson was ever as instinctual as Bucannon is. Bucannon just has a good feel for the football field which is impressive, and allows him to play all over.

Peterson, Mathieu, and Bucannon is a really nice group of young secondary players going forward. Jefferson has been a nice surprise as well.

Didn't Bethel came in at CB after Cromartie got hurt? I know that BA is high on him. I think he held his own.
 

Mitch

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I will bet you that this off-season the Cardinals are going to try to get more athletic at linebacker all the way around.
 

MadCardDisease

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Great work, Chopper. The open question is whether this arrangement is so by design, or by necessity? I have a hard time believing that this defensive staff would rather not have an outsider rusher who is capable of defeating one-on-one blocking--which is clearly what they lack right now.

This team is desperate for an OLB who can rush the passer. There is a reason why they pressured Abraham to come back and give it one more try. It's because he was the only OLB on the team who could get to the QB. This has to be the #1 priority next season.
 

82CardsGrad

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One of the best threads I've seen on this board in a very long time! Nicely done Chooper!


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82CardsGrad

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I will bet you that this off-season the Cardinals are going to try to get more athletic at linebacker all the way around.


Bucannon aside (as he isn't a LB), it really won't take much for the Cards to accomplish this Mitch. Aside from Foote, we don't have one other LB who can be seriously considered as "athletic"...


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football karma

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Great work, Chopper. The open question is whether this arrangement is so by design, or by necessity?

i think both

both in sense that it suits who the Cardinals have, and, SD and SF came out in 4 and 5 wide looks almost exclusively. NY used spread formations often--

the opposing offenses have dictated nickle
 

WildBB

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Good stuff - Bowles D is a lot of zone blitzing/shooting gaps from anywhere along the line. Adrian Wilson and DWash were the best at this, imho in their tenures here. With Bowles system you just need speed through the gap, great timing and solid tackling. So yeah - outside rush OLB's are a luxury in this present system.

We need players who are both adept at rushing and covering just as well. Bucannon is a great fit here.
 
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