seems like it is back to 4.
when you consider this is a rams home game, and the home team gets 3, it's pretty shocking Rams would only be favored by 1 on a neutral field.
The old belief that "the home team gets 3 points" from the oddsmakers is very outdated - check my posts from a few months ago:
Since we are hosting two preseason games, we get the away game. Next year my guess is we host 1 preseason game while we get the extra home game
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My youngest son won’t even let me watch the games live. He said I’m a curse. So I have to tape the games & watch them afterwards. Since my son was off at college, I watched a few games live: Detroit, @Seattle, Miami, Patriots, and LAR. Guess what. We lost every single one of them. maybe you...
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TL;DR:
In 2019, away teams actually outscored home teams, 5837-5831 (though home teams won 133 games vs. 122, with one tie). The betting line was -2.0.
And in 2020, a year with even further diminished HFA, home teams were again outscored 6351-6350, with a losing 125-130-1 record, while the betting line fell to -1.2.
So far this season, home teams are 24-24, scoring just under 1 point per game more than visitors. To the extent that the betting public is naïve to how things have changed over the last couple of decades, resulting in more money coming in on the side of home teams, oddsmakers might shade the line a bit - but here's a chart that shows how oddsmakers have set the line over the last 40+ years. 2008 was the last year when home teams were favored by close to 3 points:
...dave
