You are simply wrong. The chances of a pick being franchise player like Tatum are huge. Especially, outside the top 2 or 3 picks assuming they are even that high. I have posted those odds on the forum before.Not remotely comparable.
The odds of us winning a title are very small, the odds of us being really, really bad towards the end of the decade are very high. That is the math here to put this in play for being an all-time disaster trade.
Also, if you think Ishbia, even if he blows this up is going to let the team drop down to that territory? You have not been paying attention.