The bye week. 11/10/24-11/16/24

Shane

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The fans notice just look here :)

 

oaken1

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The fans notice just look here :)

Nah, that guy don't count
 

Brian in Mesa

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Not to throw shade on JoannaCards and her 3600 followers, but this doesn't align with what many of the other reputable sites are saying.
Well, she is just a fan, so I doubt she came up with that graphic on her own.
 

football karma

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In 10 years as GM, Keim was 80-80-2 with 3 playoff appearances. He sucked at the end but there's really no comparison to Joe Douglas' 30-64 with zero playoffs.
at risk of taking the thread off on a new direction: back in that time when I knew people who had insight on how the team was run -- the take was that the HC was a co-equal with the GM. Further, if the HC won games, he got much of what he wanted.

there is an argument to be made that Arians had much to do with that stretch.
 

kerouac9

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why she gotta be critiqued?
One could just observe the content
Because the content is wrong? Seems pretty mild to say cardsfanjoanna is spreading fake news/not attributing content.

Edit: the real critique is for BIM and others who share bad/fake content from fringe accounts because they make em feel good or whatever.

I could live long and happily without having to hear Kyler Burd’s thoughts on anything ever again.
 
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oaken1

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Because the content is wrong? Seems pretty mild to say cardsfanjoanna is spreading fake news/not attributing content
is it wrong?
I have not seen anything that proves it so.
I mean, we are talking math here...and math can be made to say lots of things.
Best I have seen is 56 percent, but that was before the Niners got themselves beat by sheattle.... so 75 percent doesnt sound so wrong to me...if one extrapolates our chances of winning our upcoming games Vs the chances for the other teams to win theirs.

But its the internet....worse,...Twitter.... and that graphic while not attached to any particular site is no more or less wrong than the ones that categorize all the teams from "Super Bowl Bound" all the way down to "Sucks swine pharts while huffing helium"

having a url to pff or pft or whatever does not make a graphic any more correct... no more than a link to the NY times makes a meme more true than the one Fat Jimmy made in Home Ec class


this is from nfl,com
it shows that based on us winning this week we have a 75 percent chance...
3. Cardinals (6-4)57%75%44%<1%

44 percent of we lose this week...and a paltry 1 percent shot at the top seed


 
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kerouac9

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is it wrong?
I have not seen anything that proves it so.
I mean, we are talking math here...and math can be made to say lots of things.
Best I have seen is 56 percent, but that was before the Niners got themselves beat by sheattle.... so 75 percent doesnt sound so wrong to me...if one extrapolates our chances of winning our upcoming games Vs the chances for the other teams to win theirs.

But its the internet....worse,...Twitter.... and that graphic while not attached to any particular site is no more or less wrong than the ones that categorize all the teams from "Super Bowl Bound" all the way down to "Sucks swine pharts while huffing helium"

having a url to pff or pft or whatever does not make a graphic any more correct... no more than a link to the NY times makes a meme more true than the one Fat Jimmy made in Home Ec class

ESPN's metric and FTN's/DVOA show 65%.

I don't know what to say about the last paragraph. More fake and obviously wrong content, I guess.
 

oaken1

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slanidrac16

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lol. Lot of nothing when it comes to the percentages. No matter whose projections, it is all opinion.

I’m really afraid of the mood on this site if we lose this Sunday. Possible narratives:
Same old cards.
Petzing sucks.
Mo should have done more.
What was Rallis thinking.
Kyler is just average.

I’m hoping beyond hope that the percentages as they are work out. Here’s my two percentage projections

If we win Sunday we will be 100% happy.
Lose? We will be 100% miserable.

Our enthusiasm and optimism is the highest it’s been in over 3 years.
The football gods have us perfectly set up for a huge letdown.
 

kerouac9

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kerouac9

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lol. Lot of nothing when it comes to the percentages. No matter whose projections, it is all opinion.

I’m really afraid of the mood on this site if we lose this Sunday. Possible narratives:
Same old cards.
Petzing sucks.
Mo should have done more.
What was Rallis thinking.
Kyler is just average.

I’m hoping beyond hope that the percentages as they are work out. Here’s my two percentage projections

If we win Sunday we will be 100% happy.
Lose? We will be 100% miserable.

Our enthusiasm and optimism is the highest it’s been in over 3 years.
The football gods have us perfectly set up for a huge letdown.
I dunno. It's not the end of the world either way if we lose. I'm pretty confident this team will continue battling for 18 weeks. Wasn't expecting to make the playoffs in the preseason; only kind of expecting to make the playoffs today. It'd be cool to host a playoff game; if we only win nine games and miss the playoffs, then we have room to grow next year.
 

slanidrac16

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I dunno. It's not the end of the world either way if we lose. I'm pretty confident this team will continue battling for 18 weeks. Wasn't expecting to make the playoffs in the preseason; only kind of expecting to make the playoffs today. It'd be cool to host a playoff game; if we only win nine games and miss the playoffs, then we have room to grow next year.
Of course a loss Sunday not the end of the world… for the level headed fan.

There are not too many of the level headed fan on this site… including me! :)
 

ajcardfan

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Of course a loss Sunday not the end of the world… for the level headed fan.

There are not too many of the level headed fan on this site… including me! :)
Win or lose in Seattle we still would control our destiny. Win or lose in Minnesota we would still control our destiny. But, the mood would be very dark and pessimistic.
 

Stout

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lol. Lot of nothing when it comes to the percentages. No matter whose projections, it is all opinion.

I’m really afraid of the mood on this site if we lose this Sunday. Possible narratives:
Same old cards.
Petzing sucks.
Mo should have done more.
What was Rallis thinking.
Kyler is just average.

I’m hoping beyond hope that the percentages as they are work out. Here’s my two percentage projections

If we win Sunday we will be 100% happy.
Lose? We will be 100% miserable.

Our enthusiasm and optimism is the highest it’s been in over 3 years.
The football gods have us perfectly set up for a huge letdown.
I think it would depend on the manner of the loss. Another Green Bay-style loss, and yeah, it would really sour the mood. I wouldn't be happy with any loss, per se, but some would be more bearable than others.
 

daves

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There are a number of interactive NFL playoff predictors / simulators, which provide varying levels of insight into their methodologies. Joanna Cards Fan's graphic appears to have come from Pro Football Network. Their simulator is fun to use but I'm not sure what settings were used to generate Joanna's graphic or why their numbers would be significantly higher than others'.

I like the simulators at ESPN, NY Times, and a few others that I have bookmarked but not handy right now; I may come back and edit to add later.

NFL.com, FiveThirtyEight, PlayoffStatus.com, and Washington Post also have detailed NFL projections, but they're not interactive.
 
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oaken1

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IF THEY WIN NEXT WEEK BRO. Not coming out of the bye.

I'm telling you: garbage information, no attribution, no media literacy.
well **** dude, maybe Joanna is posting from next week??
we all know the internet contains alternate realities and time shifts and Mandela affects and all types of oddities.
Joanna is a loyal cards fan...often travels to see the team...so most of us just post a Go Redbirds, click the heart...and scroll on
 

Bkbobo

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Keep winning games and we don't have to worry about that graphic. One thing I learned from the recent election, don't believe the polls, lol.
 

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