bucks lost DDV, and Forbes has cooled off quite a bit these playoffs (as you may recall he went nuts in the 1st half of the first meeting); the drop off from DDV
The Suns should also make the key adjustment of putting Ayton on Giannis, which should not be a problem if he plays given how limited he will be. Throw Crowder on Brook if the Bucks decide to go big.
I think Saric can deal with Portis off the bench as a 5. If Portis plays the 4, then we can have Crowder or Craig guard him.
I forgot about DiVicenzo...though that just accentuates how much of an advantage the Suns have in the backcourt and how much of an advantage the Bucks have in the frontcourt. The Suns will be starting two guards, two wings and a center, while the Bucks will be starting two centers, two wings and a guard.
On paper, Crowder and Tucker are basically the same player, so one would normally expect them to cancel each other out. The problem lies in the match-up, particularly IF Giannis plays.
I consider Paul a decided advantage over Holiday, though Paul's hand ligament issue will be a variable.
If Giannis plays, Ayton would have to guard Giannis or Lopez, which would likely mean that Crowder would have to guard the other (where Crowder would be at a decided disadvantage on both ends of the court). Booker would then have to guard the much bigger Tucker (who should just be able to post Booker up at will) or else the red-hot Middleton (which would wear Booker out and hurt his offense).
It would be a far better match-up for the Suns if they could just play Ayton on Lopez, Crowder on Portis, Bridges on Middleton, Booker on Tucker (which would be the Suns' only decided disadvantage defensively and on the boards) and Paul on Holiday. Still tough and problematic, but at least Crowder wouldn't be so overmatched having to guard Lopez or Giannis on one end and trying to shoot over them on the other end and battling them on the other end for boards.
And the way Saric has played lately, I wouldn't be confident in him dealing with anyone. The problem there is that Monty has kept Kaminsky and Craig glued to the bench in the playoffs (Kaminsky I can understand, given his lack of defense, but the decision with Craig still has me baffled), which means that if Giannis plays, we are left with just Saric and Cam Johnson dealing with Portis, whether we like it or not.