coyoteshockeyfan said:
Like I said, next year they will have about $24 million to spend on two mid-upper tier FAs (plus give raises to Bautista and Sexson and probably get a bullpen guy or two) if the payroll stays about the same. That $24 million should go a very long way to improving the team if spent wisely. I dont think Johnson needs to be traded in order to sign two pitchers. Not that I would be totally opposed to trading RJ if the right deal came along, but I dont think it is a prerequisite.
I've read a couple articles that the Dbacks want to slash their '05 payroll down to $65 mil..... Randy is due $16 mil, Gonzo $10 mil, I would project that Sexson would demand an $8 mil contract for next season, and 2 mid-upper tier pitchers would cost about $8 mil combined. Mike Koplove's contract expires, and he'd probably negotiate for one between $1.5-$3 mil.... Out of those who will be returning next season, I believe Webb and Fossum are the only ones signed over the Major League minimum.... Batista would get anywhere between $3-4 mil, and if the Dbacks wanted to add some quality relievers to their much depleted BP, all those figures would exceed that imposed cap......
Bautista has had a history of excelling in his contract year (IE the '01 WS), then suddenly he gets injured once he signs to that deal...People tend to forget that he'll be turning 33 next season, and that he's quite beyond his prime...True he "peaked" this past season, but I must deem that as a fluke....
I still contend that the best case scenario is to let Sexson, Hillenbrand, (who'd probably get a deal of $2-3 mil per season elsewhere) and Bautista walk...Then trade Johnson for a Major League ready 1B, invest highly in revamping their rotation for '05-'08 by investing into this deep FA pitching class by acquiring 2 starters and perhaps someone who has a proven track record of logging several innings out of the BP consistently...If Shane Nance continues to flourish in the role of a LH specialist, then there wouldnt be a need to spend money on another one.... This is my early projection of the '05 Dbacks roster:
1)Luis Terrero-CF
2)Scott Hairston-2B
3)Luis Gonzalez-LF
4)1B in the Johnson trade
5)Chad Tracy-3B
6)Alex Cintron-SS
7)stop-gap RF until either C. Jackson or C. Quentin are ready (could very
well be a platoon situation with Hammock, Kata, and McCracken)
8)Koyie Hill-C
Bench:
1)Matt Kata
2)Robbie Hammock
3)Quinton McCracken
4) either Brito/Snyder?
5)Andy Green/Noochie Varner, a FA?
Rotation:
1)FA starter
2)FA starter
3)Brandon Webb
4)Bill Murphy
5)Fossum/Villarreal?
Bullpen:
1) Jose Valverde
2) Greg Aquino
3) Mike Koplove
4) Shane Nance
5) Brandon Lyon
6) FA veteran reliever
7) The one who doesnt win the Fossum/Villarreal battle for 5th starter
That team obviously wouldnt contend for the post season, but would help solidify them for the long-term, and help complement the elite prospects they have on the horizon....Eventually, some of those players 6-year contracts will expire, so they would want a multi-year year deals that could exceed $1 mil each....They must be fiscally responsible.....
It's just all contingent on if Moorad and the other managing partners are willing to raise the cap by $10 mil, however, since it appears Moorad is a practicioner of "Money Ball", then that is extremely unlikely.....