Official Arizona Weather Thread

[Jersey Girl]

At my sons' football practice tonight I noticed some pretty decent buildups to the south and east of the valley. Looked like they were over Mesa perhaps... maybe a bit further south and east...

I'd say a bit farther south and east.

 

[NoelPHX]

Thunderstorm and sprinkles here in Prescott Valley

 

[Gaddabout]

So is the monsoon season over? Im not even seeing any threatening clouds anymore...

Pregnant pause. There's still plenty of moisture in the air. Dew point's in the low 60s. If you look at the south Gulf/Caribbean you'll see a large tropical system that stands a good chance of sending us some rain next week.

 

[NoelPHX]

Looks like some storms popping up to the east of phx.

 

[O]

There seems to be some activity starting to build up out there.
Maybe we'll get lucky tonight.

 

[NoelPHX]

Big cell to the southwest of my house. It has some purple in it. We shall see if it comes this way.

 

[NoelPHX]

I like this forecast....


FXUS65 KFGZ 131706
AFDFGZ

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FLAGSTAFF AZ
1000 AM MST MON AUG 13 2007

.SYNOPSIS...SCATTERED AFTERNOON AND EVENING THUNDERSTORMS ARE
EXPECTED TO DEVELOP TODAY AND FOR THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS AS MOISTURE
WILL BE IN ABUNDANCE ACROSS NORTHERN ARIZONA.

&&

.DISCUSSION...A MOIST AND VERY UNSTABLE SOUTHEAST FLOW IS IN PLACE
TODAY ACROSS NORTHERN ARIZONA. THE BEST LOCATIONS FOR STORMS TODAY
WILL BE THE NORTHEAST PLATEAUS/CHUSKA MOUNTAINS...WHITE MOUNTAINS
RUNNING NORTHWEST ALONG THE MOGOLLON RIM AND UP INTO THE KAIBAB
PLATEAU TODAY. BOTH THE GFS AND THE NAM DEVELOP A MESO-HIGH
GENERATED BY TSRA OVER PORTIONS OF WESTERN COCONINO COUNTY AND
YAVAPAI COUNTY. THERE IS ALSO 25 TO 35 KNOTS OF FLOW OVER COCONINO
AND YAVAPAI COUNTIES AT STORM TOP LEVEL WHICH WILL MOSTLY LIKELY
HELP A FEW STORMS THAT TAP INTO GOOD CAPE DISPERSE THE MASS AND HAVE
FAIRLY EFFICIENT UPDRAFTS. THE MAIN WEATHER THREAT TODAY WILL BE
ISOLATED HAIL FROM THE STRONGER STORMS MAINLY OVER YAVAPAI AND
COCONINO COUNTIES. THE OTHER CONCERN WILL BE ISOLATED HEAVY RAIN
THREAT ALONG THE PERIPHERY OF THE MESO-HIGH/OUT FLOW BOUNDARY
PROPAGATING WEST AND SOUTH INTO PORTIONS OF THE COCONINO PLATEAU
AREA WEST OF WILLIAMS AND PORTIONS OF YAVAPAI COUNTY ALONG THE VERDE
VALLEY NORTHWARD TOWARD ASH FORK.

GRIDS HAVE BEEN UPDATED TO INCREASE PRECIP CHC`S...ZONE FORECASTS
WILL BE UPDATED SHORTLY.
&&

.AVIATION...FOR THE 18Z PACKAGE...THIS AFTERNOON...EXPECT SCT-BKN
CU/TCU WITH BASES NEAR 7-9 KFT AGL...WITH SCT TSRA/-SHRA. STORM
MOTION WILL BE FROM SOUTH TO NORTH...WITH WDLY SCT MVFR CONDITIONS
UNDER THE HEAVIER STORMS. SKIES WILL CLEAR AGAIN AFTER SUNSET THIS
EVENING. AVIATION DISCUSSION NOT UPDATED FOR AMENDMENTS.

&&

.FGZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.

 

[Mike Olbinski]

Some big cells southeast of Phoenix...but moving mostly West it seems...

Still, might develop upwards...

/me crosses fingers

 

[abomb]

So damn hot. Arizona is a baaad choice.

 

[Mike Olbinski]

I'm slightly hopeful that the south valley may get something here...

If anything, a big dust storm is imminent...

 

[O]

Here is the silver lining in this cloud ladies and gentlemen,
I leave town Friday for a whole week, I return the 24th.
Guarenteed the monsoon returns with a vengence while I am gone.
How can it not with it being as hot as it is.
Trust me, I know of what I speak.

 

[Linderbee]

Here is the silver lining in this cloud ladies and gentlemen,
I leave town Friday for a whole week, I return the 24th.
Guarenteed the monsoon returns with a vengence while I am gone.
How can it not with it being as hot as it is.
Trust me, I know of what I speak.

Why should I trust you on this when you think Filiberto's is bad??

 

[O]

Why should I trust you on this when you think Filiberto's is bad??

Now that's funny.

 

[Linderbee]

Now that's funny.

I'm 2 for 2 tonight, woo hoo!

 

[Mike Olbinski]

Big ass Haboob moving into south Chandler

 

[Mike Olbinski]

Radar doesn't show it yet, but I think it's building up over my house...radar may be slow, but the lightning and thunder don't lie!

 

[Mike Olbinski]

Damn, the radar shows it building now

I'm my own radar...and I'm sleepy...and now I can't go to bed until this storm passes...

 

[Linderbee]

Big ass Haboob moving into south Chandler

big ass haboob...that just sounds funny to me!

 

[Mike Olbinski]

Damn, this is a crazy storm...non-stop lightning and thunder...pretty 'electric' out there

 

[Mike Olbinski]

Wow big pouring rain now

 

[Mike Olbinski]

You know when you have a microburst above you when your trees are blowing DOWN and not sideways...

 

[O]

big ass haboob...that just sounds funny to me!

That would be a great name for a band,
Ladies and gentleman............
Big Ass Haboob!!!!

 

[Mike Olbinski]

Crap, this lightning is getting scary...

Radar image with my house as the dot...

 

[O]

Damn, this is a crazy storm...non-stop lightning and thunder...pretty 'electric' out there

I can see the lightning from my house but no way it comes my direction.

 

[azsouthendzone]

Crazy weather developing in Maricopa. Lightning, thunder, dust everywhere! We need Chandler Mike!