fordronken said:
Those players would all still be here eventually, they'd just be here two years later. After the two year adjustment period, I think that it would, at least from a pure basketball perspective, be better for everyone involved.
I watched Jermaine O'Neal on ESPN earlier tonight with the NBA crew from over there. It was driving me nuts because O'Neal and Anthony seemed to completely miss this. For too many people this is an all or nothing rule. They see it as "if the guy doesn't come straight out of high school he isn't going to be here". It's ridiculous. Yes, many of the top players in the NBA are straight out of high school. Guess what? They still would have been the top players in the NBA if they had been taken two years later. However they likely would have contributed more and sooner, and they would have probably gone at the top of their drafts to the teams that truly needed them the most.
LeBron James and Amare Stoudemire are probably the two most successful straight from high school players back to and including Kevin Garnett. as good as those guys were in their rookie years can you imagine how much better they would have been after two years of college, development league, or international ball? It might not have worked out well for the Phoenix Suns, but he probably would have gone at the top of the draft instead of dropping to #9. Of course the problem is that these guys are the exception to the rule. They were two out of how many players that have gone straight to the NBA?
Every player is different, but for the most part a guy would come into the NBA more mature after a couple extra years of development than straight out of high school. However I do believe the age limit has almost nothing to do with the well-being of the young players entering the draft. That's what David Stern says, but he knows what it's really about. It's about improving the quality of the NBA, especially for the piss poor teams that are drafting in the lottery.
Right now teams like the LA Clippers, Golden State, etc. are taking players that are still just developing their basketball skills. Some people will say, "well that's their fault for making that mistake." That's just not true. The problem is there are only a couple of players with mature basketball skills who are ever worthy of a top draft pick any more. If these teams don't take the guy with enormous potential they are for the most part taking guys who would have fallen to the bottom of the first-round years ago.
I was frustrated to no end with Greg Anthony who kept saying that for every high school player who didn't contribute immediately he could find a four-year college player who also didn't contribute immediately. Well no kidding. That's not the point. The point is that if the high school player, prime example Jermaine O'Neal, had played somewhere else for two years he most likely would have been much more ready to contribute when he was drafted. You wouldn't have fallen to the bottom of the first round. In fact he probably would have been one of the top draft choices. He would have played immediately instead of sitting on the bench for four years. Lastly and most importantly he could have helped some team at the top of that draft more immediately and actually earned his paycheck.
Lastly, I think the idea of drafting these players when they are 18 years old and putting them in the developmental league doesn't help the problem. The NBA teams still don't have a good idea of what they are actually drafting. They still are not getting the immediate help they need. The player is still collecting a big check when he isn't actually contributing to his team. Frankly I think that solution is almost worse. I also don't think you'll ever see teams putting their top draft picks into a developmental league where they can get hurt. I don't think the agents would allow it. It's just a bad idea unless we are talking about second round draft picks or something like that.
Well, there's my $.02.
Joe Mama