Robin Lopez is going to turn out to be an above average starting center in the NBA and will turn out to be a solid draft pick when all is said and done.... There I said it. Now mock me all you want because I am ready for it.
Lopez has drove me nuts and made me want to throw the remote at the tv, vomit, or run down onto the court and slap him a few times this year, but the reason I think he will turn out alright are as follows:
He obviously has a great ability to block shots and when he is in games for any decent period of time his timing improves and he actually does show some of those flashes of protecting the paint like we all want to see. He has had a few games this year where he did a phenomenal job of protecting the paint and blocking or changing nearly every shot that game in the paint.
His rebounding has improved (showed by his 11 boards against Minnesota) and he has done a much better job recently of either putting himself in position to get the board or putting his teammates in position to get the board by boxing out the other big men to assure that they wont be getting an offensive rebound.
His fouls are decreasing and a lot of times he has at least 1 of those fouls within the first minute he is in the game. The thing that does still bother me is that there are times when he leaves his feet to block a guard penetrating to the basket when a) he doesn't really need to with his length in some situations and b) he jumps into them so he is going to get called for the foul every time.
He does a fairly good job of defending the high pick and roll and showing on high screens, but often stays up to long and allows the big man to flash to the basket and then is trying to play catch up which leads to an easy basket or a foul every time (if he doesn't get there and make the block).
On the offensive side of the ball Robin still has a lot to work on. The thing that probably bothers me the most is that when he gets the ball and he is in a position to score he acts like the ball is a dang hot potato a lot of the time. Instead of going up and finishing with authority as a big 7 footer should he often rushes a shot and ends up missing some easy baskets. He also does this quite often when he gets a offensive rebound, he tries to tip the ball in too often when he could either a) have a put back dunk or b) catch the ball and go back up to either finish with authority or get fouled at least.
Robin will always struggle offensively as long as he continues to bring the ball so low where people can get to it. He needs to keep the ball higher where guards can't slap at it. He also has a really low release on his shot that leads to a lot of his shots getting blocked. These are both things that can hopefully be improved with good big man coaching. Not to mention that his hands look flat out awful at times and I don't even know what to say about that.
I also think a lot of this has to do with confidence. The Suns provide a pretty intimidating environment for rookies with all of the future hall of fame players on the roster and also the pressure to win now they have faced this year. There were very high expectations for this team and for these rookies and the Suns have also had a very short bench the last few years. A lot of other rookie big men that are contributing to their teams are playing for teams who didn't really have high expectations. I don't know if this really had much to do with Robins struggles or not, but lack of confidence definitely seems to have played a factor when they were told/expected to play a lot of minutes as rookies and then didn't or had their minutes cut.
I just think with confidence and good coaching Robin will be alright. That said, I haven't really been all that impressed with Bill Cartwright as the big mans coach. Either A) Robin is not applying the things that Cartwright is teaching him or B) Cartwright is failing to teach Robin some of the basic fundemental necessities to succeed in the NBA.
Well this all may be a bunch of garbage that I just wrote but they are some of the thoughts I have about Robin.
Don't stone me too bad.