Dr. Jones
Has No Time For Love
- Joined
- Nov 2, 2004
- Posts
- 27,230
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my biggest reason for worry about Ayton being a low-post defender or shot-blocker is he just doesn't seem to have natural instincts for that kind of play. coaching can definitely help, but there's an apparent lack of those instincts you either have or don't that I fear will limit him.
on the perimeter, he's got GREAT potential though. We saw that in pretty big one game spurts against LeBron and Giannis and I think he WILL even get better there. Unfortunately, we don't have anyone we can put next to him to cover for the other deficiencies.
Agreed.
Coaching can help..... I am definitely still on the talent bandwagon. We are not talented enough individually or collectively IMO.I also find it curious that so many people are now saying "coaching is going to make a huge difference" considering before Igor got the axe, the overwhelming majority of the board said coaching wasn't the issue, but talent was. Lot of people have done a big 180 on that without even knowing it making the argument now that talent doesn't matter as much because they know we'll have better coaching.
That said, I DO think Monty can make a solid difference because I jumped ship on Igor pretty early. That team, as young as it was, was too talented to be worse than the previous year and not only worse, but get blown the hell out in a bunch of games.
Doesn't that speak to their competitive will to be great? Wouldn't that be an even bigger indicator that this squad is destined to suck?I am going to state the obvious here - but I guess you are not realizing it. When you are down 20 points and you have lost 5 times more than you have won, you are not going to be playing up to your potential defensively. Just being on a bad team makes players defensive effort worse.
Human nature does realistically play a huge role in self motivating yourself. Also from what I could see, Igor was not exactly getting on them about their defense.
It is not a coincidence that during the stretch we were playing .500 ball we were an above average defensive team. Which also clearly indicates the team is capable of better defensive performance than they showed for the majority of the year.
To not expect a dramatic improvement if we are more competitive and have a coach emphasizing the importance defense is ridiculous.
Defensive rating is a very flawed stat IMO. We won't get into that here. The rest of your stats are about shot-blocking entirely. Historically shot-blocking is only one defensive stat, and sometimes can be an indicator of a bad defensive player (willing to gamble for blocks rather than play good position defense or rebound) rather than a good one. By the way, rebounding might be one of the most important defensive stat.
Shot blocking is a wonderful predictor of Rim protection as well as your ability to rotate and give help defensively. It's the EXACT stat that helps me determine who has instincts at the position and who doesn't.
To me, Rebounding measures your ability to hold and eat up space and anticipation of the bounce of the ball. And in no way speaks to spacial recognition while in rotation, or your ability to change a shot because of your positioning.
Ayton's opponent FG% under 5 feet is 65%. Of the Centers who actually get playing time that places him firmly 12th from the bottom.
As you head away from the rim he gets better and better. This speaks to his lateral quickness and ability to guard as he moves away from the rim.
At the rim is, has been, & probably will be, his biggest weakness as a Center in the NBA. And it's not something that can really be coached.
Link to stats: https://stats.nba.com/players/oppon...on&PlayerPosition=C&sort=5-9 ft. FG PCT&dir=1