Using swifts 63 mins as some kind of evaluation is a major statistical goof, no statistician would use that kind of incredibly small sample. Making that comparison cant possibly use the same basis of common opponents in a comparison, so its likely to be invalid. Its also invalid to use his first 5 years and assume he is the same player after almost 10 years. Maybe he never got a chance to play in the right scenario(skilled teammates), and is going to produce nicely for the suns. I hope is is a force, but I dont think there is any evidence for that. When you play your whole career in garbage time(almost always losing big) the stats are unlikely to be representative as the opposing defense doesnt care what you do.
Nowagimp, nobody is saying he will do it. Show me where someone guaranteed it. There are indications he has the potential which was the point. Statistics are indicators nothing more. No stats person ignores statistical facts just because it doesn't support their view (a la you). Anything you read into after that are your false assumptions.
As usual though, don't let the facts get in your way.
Also, knowing you have not followed a guys career and make the huge leap that all of his time has come in garbage time is also most likely makes your assumptions "invalid". When a guy plays over 20 minutes per game and you play for teams that don't have a history of blowing teams out, it's less likely "all" of his time came in garbage time. It's more likely the last season and a half was garbage time. Look at his minutes per game. He played nearly 20 minutes per game every season up to that point. If you really want to know what garbage time is..look no further then our own Tucker and Lopez who average less then 10 MPG. That is garbage time.
Also, despite using a small sample of minutes for this season, if you had read his earlier post, it was stating that his PER for rebounding was much better than what I was posting. So, he was not disagreeing but stating that I was undervaluing his PER. When a player has produced his entire career at a certain level when given at least 20 minutes per game, it's not a statistical leap of faith to say he could probably do it again. Is it likely..... is another argument because his role has diminished over the last season and a half.
I personally am not banking on Swift doing anything here nor would I be surprised if he never got off the bench and played nothing but garbage time. However, unlike you, I was being objective by looking at his overall career and stating that he had potential. Maybe you didn't get that.
