I'm not sure if he qualifies for a supermax, I think not, but the max we can sign him too if we trade for him is higher than pursuing him in free agency because we gain his bird rights. Setting aside any supermax talk, which I can't look up now. The most we can offer next summer is 4 years with 5% raises annually. If we trade for him the max is 5 years with 7.5% annual increases. So trading for him would raise the financial hit. Also i think its less likely he would resign here for less than max if we trade for him. We might be able to sign him for a little less than the max if no one else is offering him a max deal on the open market. Its rare an unrestricted player who is seeking max money gets less from their current team. At most they might take a cut down to what they could get from another team as the max so its still max money but small savings for the team. Its like matching a max contract offer because you have 1 less year and 2.5% difference in the raises annually. That adds up over time.
I like Kemba but that price is too high for him. I would rather see the Suns throw 20 million a year for 4 years at Rubio and make him decide where he wants to be. I doubt Utah pays that much but they might. Igor would be the selling point there and if he says he's worth it then I would agree. He's a little younger than Kemba and a better defender. We know he works in Igor's system. He's a willing playmaker also who won't complain about his own touches or shots. I think that's less than Kemba will get and so long as Utah doesn't extend Rubio this year, he'll be on the market next summer. We stand a good chance if we have the cash. That might leave us around 8-10 million to sign someone else, maybe Ariza if he works out well and has gas left in the tank after this season. I think most would prefer a PG and a player to replace Ariza, Anderson, and Chandler. All are likely gone at years end unless we resign them, they're our cap space plus Troy Daniels, and our youth will replace some of their minutes and roles but being able to keep one or replace one will help us in the long run. Keeping Anderson at his 20 million dollar cap hit isn't happening so it's resigning Ariza or Chandler, really, and Chandler shouldn't cost more than the minimum if he doesn't retire. He owes the Suns a year that cheap, IMO. Unlikely that happens though.
I wanted to argue against that second paragraph but... I gotta admit, the logic is sound. Rubio is a really good play maker, great at spotting guys on the break and he's become a passable shooter after being a trainwreck for most of his career, and he has consistently been a really good defender.
I think Kemba is a better player in a vacuum, but given the talent we already have on the roster, Rubio is a better fit and I think we could probably land him for less than 20 mil a year, probably more like 15. The Jazz already extended Exum, they just drafted Grayson Allen (gag me, I bet Jazz fans will love him).
Massive aside incoming:
Also, poor Jazz. They've a potential superstar guard, a defensive beast big and a ton of cap room coming up, a situation that would sniff of a potential dynasty if elsewhere... but who the hell wants to live in Salt Lake City? Southern Utah is a marvel of nature's beauty. Northern Utah is probably the most dull area of the country, especially if you're a young dude with tons of money who regularly sees the social lives of your peers living in other cities.
I've been through there a few times, on my way to more entertaining things. I'm not a 21-28 year old millionaire and I was BEGGING to find a fun spot to kill some nights. Me and my girlfriend at the time went out paying way too much money for awful drinks in empty sad businesses.
Donovan Mitchell grew up on the East coast, he went to a college that we now know bought hookers for players. The Jazz had better play that he settles down with some local girl in the next year or two or that dude is gone as soon as the opportunity presents itself.