As of this moment, I would lean Doncic.
Reasoning:
His ceiling is Harden. He kind of IS Harden, if you squint. Certainly already better than Harden at the same age.
He's a PG. And so, really, is Booker. See the Rockets with Paul and Harden. We would have no more point guard woes forever. Someone transcendent would always be handling/distributing.
A backcourt of Doncic and Booker would be so damn classy and difficult to stop. Pick-n-rolls all over. And we could throw Jackson on the opposing team's short PG, the way the Bulls used to do occasionally with Pippen. We'd be taller all over the floor than the opposition in most cases.
Center just ain't what it used to be. The teams with the top centers are very good, but not great. See Minnesota, New Orleans, Denver, Philadelphia, etc. I'm just not certain the aircraft carrier is the best way to win anymore. I'm a 48-year-old, so every bit of my dinosaur body says to take Ayton. But if you had to ask an 18-year-old, I'm not sure they'd say the same. Today's game is a spacing/three-point-shooting/passing/ball-handling orgy. The best teams are the teams with transcendent shooters/handlers/passers.
Ayton may not be a top five center. He's often compared to the Admiral, but the Admiral wasn't THAT transcendent. Excellent, yes, but not NBA championship caliber. He couldn't/didn't win a ring until Duncan arrived.
I'm not sure Ayton IS the Admiral, at least defensively. Robinson was much more of a force on that end. I hope/think Ayton comes around, but I also think Bamba and JJJ might forever be better rim defenders.
IF we were to add Capela and a three-point marksman to go with Doncic, I think we could VERY closely resemble the Rockets in a hurry. With more #1 picks coming from the Bucks and Heat.
Bottom line, I'd lean Doncic, at least until I change my mind again tomorrow.
PS, we really have to think of this pick as a two-player package. Whomever we draft will be paired with a complimentary FA.
So, for instance:
Would you prefer Doncic and Capela... or Exum and Ayton?
Very interesting to consider...
Reasoning:
His ceiling is Harden. He kind of IS Harden, if you squint. Certainly already better than Harden at the same age.
He's a PG. And so, really, is Booker. See the Rockets with Paul and Harden. We would have no more point guard woes forever. Someone transcendent would always be handling/distributing.
A backcourt of Doncic and Booker would be so damn classy and difficult to stop. Pick-n-rolls all over. And we could throw Jackson on the opposing team's short PG, the way the Bulls used to do occasionally with Pippen. We'd be taller all over the floor than the opposition in most cases.
Center just ain't what it used to be. The teams with the top centers are very good, but not great. See Minnesota, New Orleans, Denver, Philadelphia, etc. I'm just not certain the aircraft carrier is the best way to win anymore. I'm a 48-year-old, so every bit of my dinosaur body says to take Ayton. But if you had to ask an 18-year-old, I'm not sure they'd say the same. Today's game is a spacing/three-point-shooting/passing/ball-handling orgy. The best teams are the teams with transcendent shooters/handlers/passers.
Ayton may not be a top five center. He's often compared to the Admiral, but the Admiral wasn't THAT transcendent. Excellent, yes, but not NBA championship caliber. He couldn't/didn't win a ring until Duncan arrived.
I'm not sure Ayton IS the Admiral, at least defensively. Robinson was much more of a force on that end. I hope/think Ayton comes around, but I also think Bamba and JJJ might forever be better rim defenders.
IF we were to add Capela and a three-point marksman to go with Doncic, I think we could VERY closely resemble the Rockets in a hurry. With more #1 picks coming from the Bucks and Heat.
Bottom line, I'd lean Doncic, at least until I change my mind again tomorrow.
PS, we really have to think of this pick as a two-player package. Whomever we draft will be paired with a complimentary FA.
So, for instance:
Would you prefer Doncic and Capela... or Exum and Ayton?
Very interesting to consider...