3 years @ 17mil per would be a good contract for HB & closer to what he is worth. Not 17mil total.
Worth on the open market? Maybe.
Worth it to our team, I don't believe so.
I get that our team is desperate for talent, but I don't want to pay borderline #1 money for him.
I would go higher than 3/17, that was the ballpark figure as I stated, the opening bid.
If you want to put 7 percent of our cap into a 5'9" WR2 with a questionable hamstring it's your prerogative. I'm simply trying to look ahead and would rather spend it elsewhere.
Remember, we're not flush with the cap next year. We're only going to have a s-medium chunk with a lot of holes to fill. As it stands that's about 1/3rd our cap space next year (without making moves and I believe including the rookies).
I'm not saying I'd be upset with such a signing, I just don't think it's a wise one. Avg 900-1000 yards in a 17-game season isn't worth a mill per game imo. It's been suggested we might be going after taller receivers.
Even now he's had 18 games with us and has 1043 yards. He's a classic number 2 or good number 3 type talent. 17 mill is too rich for that. 10 is fair too, but I'm not starting there.
The reason I'm willing to let him go is that a borderline 1000-yard receiver in a 17-game season receiver is not a guy I devote a big chunk to, not with a rebuild going on.
As I said, I'd rather trade him now than lose him on the open market. It's about knowing our direction. What are we doing with him? What are we doing with Kyler? If we know we're not going to make a serious market-level offer, trade him.
Basically, if we're not willing to pay 17-20 million for him, then we should trade him. Our front office should know that now. Clearly, they're waiting to dole out contracts. A 3rd rounder in the 2024 draft or 17 million per year cap hold? Maybe we can find someone desperate for a playoff run/injury replacement.
We saw this front office balk at rates below what people thought the market was going to be for Murphy and Allen, if that's a trend, I don't know if we'll even offer Hollywood a contract. Both of those guys I feel are more valuable then Hollywood. Maybe Monti and the front office disagree. We thought Allen would get around 17-22 mill, sort of like Hollywood is being projected.
I do really wonder what Monti will spend money on. We've seen a lot of what he won't. We just cut Sanders. We traded Simmons, etc. Label me right now as someone who is skeptical about Monti spending money on many who aren't one of his guys.
Budda is the exception, but also a top-end guy who forced the situation. He may indeed only spend on his guys or top guys. Hollywood is likely neither. We'll see.