My guess is that the Cardinals will likely use more 12 personnel sets, less 13 personnel sets, and more 11 personnel sets in 2024. My guess is they will be as comfortable with the blocking of Wilson as they are with Higgins, and they won't want MHJ off the field. I would also expect Dortch to get more run in the offense which will lock in 65% rate of 11 personnel sets. Week 1 should be a nice gauge.
I agree on Wilson and MHJ.
We were 65% 11 personnel last year and still had 1650 TE snaps to go around. I expect Reiman to be TE2 because he can do much more than Higgins, who I expect will be more of a situational player on 3rd downs or used as a big slot, where Reiman will have both blocking and receiving packages.
I can see Raiman taking 520-550 snaps. I think because McBride is a large part of our passing game (and has no real backup) they will ride him less on blocking downs to keep him fresher and avoid injury and he takes Swaims snaps and some from Higgins. And to not telegraph a running play when Raiman is in for McBride he'll need his fair share of routes.
If anything I think that 11 will decrease a little. I would expect 12 to go from 20% to around 22-23% and we lead the league in 13 already last year at 10% and I don't think that drops.
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