Amare: Extension in the works

SactownSunsFan

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Has anyone taken into consideration the level of competition in the West vs the East? Winning regular season games is much easier in the East than it is in the West, as is the path to the Finals, and it's been that way since MJ retired.

Having said that, I would take Howard over Amare, but Amare has, IMO, closed the gap considerably over the last month or so, and if he continues to play at this level offensively, and can continue to improve defensively, it could be a completely different discussion by this time next year.
 

Cheesebeef

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Has anyone taken into consideration the level of competition in the West vs the East? Winning regular season games is much easier in the East than it is in the West, as is the path to the Finals, and it's been that way since MJ retired.

I think this is kind of pre-2008 thinking. The West is probably stronger overall still, but that gap has closed considerably in the last couple years. Since 2008, the East has pretty much always had three VERY GOOD teams and some other mediocre ones, just like when the Suns where at their heyday. Bottom line, you can't besmirch a Magic team went on the road in two series, beating two 60 win clubs.

Having said that, I would take Howard over Amare, but Amare has, IMO, closed the gap considerably over the last month or so, and if he continues to play at this level offensively, and can continue to improve defensively, it could be a completely different discussion by this time next year.

No matter what Amare does, his size will never allow him to be the force that Howard is on D. That's an insurmountable difference between the two.
 

SactownSunsFan

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I think this is kind of pre-2008 thinking. The West is probably stronger overall still, but that gap has closed considerably in the last couple years. Since 2008, the East has pretty much always had three VERY GOOD teams and some other mediocre ones, just like when the Suns where at their heyday. Bottom line, you can't besmirch a Magic team went on the road in two series, beating two 60 win clubs.

Who did Orlando beat? A beat up Boston team without KG, and a Cavs team that got swept by the Spurs in the Finals just 2 years earlier.

Boston did the majority of their regular season damage with a healthy KG, then barely squeaked by a 41 win Bulls team before taking that Magic team 7 games without KG.

The Cavs were a better team last year than the year they went to the Finals, and I'll give props to the Magic for beating them, but they still wouldn't hold a jock to the Spurs team that won 3 Championships in 5 years.

So no, I don't think it's pre-2008 thinking, and I don't buy that Howard has accomplished more than Amare has in the postseason, because Howard has never had to face a dynasty-type team like the Spurs.

No matter what Amare does, his size will never allow him to be the force that Howard is on D. That's an insurmountable difference between the two.
Yes, Howard has a natural size advantage, and he should, since he's a natural Center while Amare is better fit at the power forward spot. Amare doesn't need to become a dominant defensive player, however, to surpass Howard. If Amare can become a good positional defender, (ala Kurt Thomas), he's got a chance to become a better all-around player than Howard, if Howard is unable to become a more consistent offensive player. His free throw shooting is atrocious, and I don't think that's something that will ever improve.
 

RingtheBell

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If you are comparing old Amare vs Howard, Howard wins hands down.

This new terminator version of Amare vs Howard and I take Amare all day long. 16 million dollar question is can he keep it going.
 

Cheesebeef

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Who did Orlando beat? A beat up Boston team without KG, and a Cavs team that got swept by the Spurs in the Finals just 2 years earlier.

so did that 2005-6 Suns team suck because we didn't have Amare, even though they won 54 games as opposed to 62 won by last year's Celtics?

And that Cavs team that lost to the Spurs TWO YEARS earlier won 50 games... not 66, the 6th highest total in NBA history, who had a completely new backcourt than the 2007 team did. Come. That's a pretty incredulous comment.

Boston did the majority of their regular season damage with a healthy KG, then barely squeaked by a 41 win Bulls team before taking that Magic team 7 games without KG.

No they didn't. He was out for a 1/3 of the season. That's a HUGE chunk. And again, are you saying that the 2005 Nash Suns team was garbage because they barely squeaked past a 45 win Laker team?

The Cavs were a better team last year than the year they went to the Finals, and I'll give props to the Magic for beating them, but they still wouldn't hold a jock to the Spurs team that won 3 Championships in 5 years.

So no, I don't think it's pre-2008 thinking, and I don't buy that Howard has accomplished more than Amare has in the postseason, because Howard has never had to face a dynasty-type team like the Spurs.

He's gotten to the Finals... beaten TWO teams he was favored to lose to. Amare's never done that once. Has Amare ever even been on a team that didn't have homecourt and won the series? No. In fact he's TWICE been on teams that had homecourt and got blown away in the series.

Yes, Howard has a natural size advantage, and he should, since he's a natural Center while Amare is better fit at the power forward spot. Amare doesn't need to become a dominant defensive player, however, to surpass Howard.

he does if he wants to make the same impact on a game.

If Amare can become a good positional defender, (ala Kurt Thomas),

sure... but after 8 years, a player is what he is. And he'll never be the positional defender that Thomas was because he's not built the same. Thomas strength was in his trunk and quite frankly his ass. Amare's lean and mean and it's what gives him the edge on people on offense.

he's got a chance to become a better all-around player than Howard, if Howard is unable to become a more consistent offensive player. His free throw shooting is atrocious, and I don't think that's something that will ever improve.

agreed on Howard's FT shooting. But Howard's already ahead of the curve as far as impact on games and is younger than Amare, which means it's more likely that if anyone's game is gonna grow at this point, it would be Howard, not Amare.
 
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Cheesebeef

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If you are comparing old Amare vs Howard, Howard wins hands down.

This new terminator version of Amare vs Howard and I take Amare all day long. 16 million dollar question is can he keep it going.

since the All-Star Break, even with Terminator Version of Amare at - 27 ppg, 9.5 rebounds, .7 blocks, I'd take Howard's 21 ppg, 13 rebounds, 3 blocks per game any day of the week. Both create nightmares on O, but only one of the guy continues to wreak havoc defensively.
 

SactownSunsFan

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so did that 2005-6 Suns team suck because we didn't have Amare, even though they won 54 games as opposed to 62 won by last year's Celtics?

They didn't suck, but they certainly weren't Championship caliber. If anything they overachieved, which is why everyone fell in love with that team. They struggled mightily to beat the Lakers and the Clippers before the Mavs handled them. It's just this franchise's rotten luck that the year we wouldn't have had to face the Spurs is the year Amare misses.

And that Cavs team that lost to the Spurs TWO YEARS earlier won 50 games... not 66, the 6th highest total in NBA history, who had a completely new backcourt than the 2007 team did. Come. That's a pretty incredulous comment.
They won 66 regular season games because they played in the East, where wins are easy to come by. They don't win 60 if they're a Western Conference team. The 6th, 7th and 8th seed combined had a losing record that season. The 5th, 6th, 7th and 8th seed combined for .500 record. Absolutely crap basketball in the Eastern conference.


No they didn't. He was out for a 1/3 of the season. That's a HUGE chunk. And again, are you saying that the 2005 Nash Suns team was garbage because they barely squeaked past a 45 win Laker team?
Come on man, the Celtics are a completely different animal with a healthy KG - I shouldn't have to argue that.

And that Lakers team had one of the all-time great players in Kobe, and one of the all-time great coaches in Phil Jackson. What did the Bulls have that comes close to that? The Suns beat the Lakers the next year with Amare 4 games to 1.


He's gotten to the Finals... beaten TWO teams he was favored to lose to. Amare's never done that once. Has Amare ever even been on a team that didn't have homecourt and won the series? No. In fact he's TWICE been on teams that had homecourt and got blown away in the series.
Yes, by an incredible Spurs team that many consider to be a dynasty. That goes back to my argument - that the East has been, and still is an easier path to the Finals than the West. Even if the gap has closed somewhat, there's still a gap.

he does if he wants to make the same impact on a game.
Not necessarily. There's more than one way to impact a game.


sure... but after 8 years, a player is what he is. And he'll never be the positional defender that Thomas was because he's not built the same. Thomas strength was in his trunk and quite frankly his ass. Amare's lean and mean and it's what gives him the edge on people on offense.
There are plenty of players that have improved defensively as their careers moved forward - Larry Nance is a great example. Nance was a so-so defender for much of his early career, then turned it in his later years and became a 3-time all-team defender. I don't think Amare will ever make all-team, but the guy has the physical tools to become an above average defender, it's his mentality that needs to change, and it would appear it has, at least in the short term.

agreed on Howard's FT shooting. But Howard's already ahead of the curve as far as impact on games and is younger than Amare, which means it's more likely that if anyone's game is gonna grow at this point, it would be Howard, not Amare.
I agree that is more likely, which is why I said I'd take Howard over Amare. Just don't count Amare out, and it's amazing how things and opinions can change over the course of one year.
 
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Arizona's Finest

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Personally I am not that big a fan of Howard because he has yet to really develop his offensive game now being in the league 5+years but I agree with Cheese that Howards defense/rebounding >>>> Amare's offense.

OT: This seems like a no brainer but I am calling my shot now.

After Amare signs with Miami this offseason (and he will), make way for your new starting Power forward here in Phoenix!!!!!!

http://sportsillustrated.cnn.com/2010/writers/ian_thomsen/03/18/lee.knicks/index.html?eref=sihp

Not a bad player but if this isn't the closest thing to Gugliotta signing after McDyess left, I don't know what else could be.
 

Cheesebeef

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They won 66 regular season games because they played in the East, where wins are easy to come by. They don't win 60 if they're a Western Conference team. The 6th, 7th and 8th seed combined had a losing record that season. The 5th, 6th, 7th and 8th seed combined for .500 record. Absolutely crap basketball in the Eastern conference.

Sorry man, but when you have 3 60 win clubs and a 50 win club, that's a decent conference... or was the West pathetic as well when we won 61 games and the bottom three seeds were 42-40, 42-40 and 45-37? It's a top heavy conference and the Magic beat both of the heavies without HCA. That's impressive no matter what you might want to try and say.

Come on man, the Celtics are a completely different animal with a healthy KG - I shouldn't have to argue that.

Sure they are, but they proved themselves to be a good team without him, just like that Suns team was a good team without Amare.

And that Lakers team had one of the all-time great players in Kobe, and one of the all-time great coaches in Phil Jackson. What did the Bulls have that comes close to that?

and they had NOTHING else on it. Smush Parker, Walton and Qwame Freaking Brown were starters on that team! The Bulls had a TON more talent on their team last year. Rookie of the Year, 6th Man of the year, a Rebounding Monster in the middle and depth.

Yes, by an incredible Spurs team that many consider to be a dynasty.

an "incredible" Spurs team? That Spurs team was on it's last legs and we couldn't even put them away... with home court advantage... again. It was a good champion, who didn't have to face anyone else because the league was atrocious that year and thus they got to cake-walk to the Finals after punking our punk asses again.

That goes back to my argument - that the East has been, and still is an easier path to the Finals than the West. Even if the gap has closed somewhat, there's still a gap.

And yet, the East is even stronger this year and the Cavs are off running towards another 64 win season. And this with more injuries to pretty much everyone except Lebron that I can ever remember for a team. Maybe, just maybe they were pretty damn good last year.

Not necessarily. There's more than one way to impact a game.

sure, you can score or you can defend... or you can do both. Amare can do excel at one, but offers very little on the other, as opposed to Howard who can impact the game offensively AND dominate it defensively... where the game matters most.

There are plenty of players that have improved defensively as their careers moved forward - Larry Nance is a great example. Nance was a so-so defender for much of his early career, then turned it in his later years and became a 3-time all-team defender.

was a so-so defender in his early years? Yeah, I don't remember that, nor do his stats tell the same story. He came into the league as a shot-blocker and maintained that presence throughout his career, along with his rebounding numbers which maintained at about the same level. He got more acclaim with Cleveland because Cleveland was know as the "defensive" team, as opposed to every Suns team since the history of man.

I don't think Amare will ever make all-team, but the guy has the physical tools to become an above average defender, it's his mentality that needs to change, and it would appear it has, at least in the short term.

I agree that is more likely, which is why I said I'd take Howard over Amare. Just don't count Amare out, and it's amazing how things and opinions can change over the course of one year.[/QUOTE]

or 15 great games apparently.
 

devilalum

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Personally I am not that big a fan of Howard because he has yet to really develop his offensive game now being in the league 5+years but I agree with Cheese that Howards defense/rebounding >>>> Amare's offense.

OT: This seems like a no brainer but I am calling my shot now.

After Amare signs with Miami this offseason (and he will), make way for your new starting Power forward here in Phoenix!!!!!!

http://sportsillustrated.cnn.com/2010/writers/ian_thomsen/03/18/lee.knicks/index.html?eref=sihp

Not a bad player but if this isn't the closest thing to Gugliotta signing after McDyess left, I don't know what else could be.

Suns won't have the money to sign Lee.
 

Divide Et Impera

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We're over the cap. If Amare leaves, we will only be under by a small amount. I still hold that we should NOT get lulled by his temporary play. We have a body of work to examine that should preclude us from falling in love with a few weeks of very good play. Don't get suckered by this guy....
 

Arizona's Finest

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We're over the cap. If Amare leaves, we will only be under by a small amount. I still hold that we should NOT get lulled by his temporary play. We have a body of work to examine that should preclude us from falling in love with a few weeks of very good play. Don't get suckered by this guy....

WTF? Seriously? Who are we paying big money too other then Jrich and Nash?

What a joke. If thats true, count me in on the extend Amare bandwagon. Like I give a rats ass where Sarvers money goes other then to paying good players.

If losing Amare means we also have minimal cap space, I would rather be over the cap and him on the team. Thats not even a question in my mind.
 

Divide Et Impera

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Nope. I don't go for that. Amare is who Amare is - and he ain't a $17m player. I'd rather see him walk and work with our $5m cap space (or whatever it is) and worry about the NEXT offseason when we have our own pick (presumably a high one) AND when JRich comes off the books (another $14m freed up).

All I want is for the Suns to hang onto Dragic-Amundson-Clark-Dudley-Lopez and build from there with future draft picks and FAs....
 

Divide Et Impera

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Actually, it looks like even if Amare walks and his $16.4m comes off the books, we'll STILL be $4.5m over the cap(unless you count Hill's, Frye's, Amundson's and Collin's expirings).

That doesn't change my stance. Let Amare walk rather than overpay him. JRich walks next year AND we have our own high pick. Nash retires the following year AND we have another high pick AND we have a lot of capspace. That's the right path for the future....

Edit - Oh, and Barbosa comes off next offseason, too, so we will clear nearly $21m next offseason. We'd be something like $15m under next year WITH a high pick. My numbers are not 100% correct because I am not accounting for signings to fulfill roster minimums and such, but you get the basic drift....
 
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AzStevenCal

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Nope. I don't go for that. Amare is who Amare is - and he ain't a $17m player. I'd rather see him walk and work with our $5m cap space (or whatever it is) and worry about the NEXT offseason when we have our own pick (presumably a high one) AND when JRich comes off the books (another $14m freed up).

All I want is for the Suns to hang onto Dragic-Amundson-Clark-Dudley-Lopez and build from there with future draft picks and FAs....

The only reason I'd hesitate to pay max or near max is the injury risk. There just aren't that many players that impact the game to the degree he does.

The team you describe is a lot more than one high draft pick away from being a contender. Personally, I'd pass on Amare only if we thought we could move the other big contracts for decent value. And that's not out of the realm of possibility IMO. Send Nash to Toronto for a protected pick and move Richardson in mid-season to a contender. I'd also let Hill pick his destination without concern for what we got in return.

Steve
 

slinslin

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A protected pick is far from enough for Nash, considering we'd have to take back contracts on top of that from Toronto.

DeRozan and a pick, maaaybe..
 

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If it came down to choosing who to go forward with between Nash,Amare and JRich(an unlikely scenario)....for me it's Amare with little hesitation.

He's a 27 yr old 6'10" PF who can get you 25/10/1/1 on 55%FG
Of course there are concerns over his knees and soft defense......but Nash's 37 yr old back is just as likely to snap as Amare's reconstructed knees IMO.

I'd love to see the SUNS put a couple solid
defensive pieces around him(including Dudley,Dragic & Lopez),go get Joe Johnson back* and just set Stoudemire loose offensively. :D

*One can dream can't he? :)
Dragic/?
Joe Johnson/Barbosa
Dudley/Clark
Amare/Lou
Horford/Lopez
 
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Divide Et Impera

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The only reason I'd hesitate to pay max or near max is the injury risk. There just aren't that many players that impact the game to the degree he does.

The team you describe is a lot more than one high draft pick away from being a contender. Personally, I'd pass on Amare only if we thought we could move the other big contracts for decent value. And that's not out of the realm of possibility IMO. Send Nash to Toronto for a protected pick and move Richardson in mid-season to a contender. I'd also let Hill pick his destination without concern for what we got in return.

Steve

Nowhere in this thread or any other have I suggested that we can bounce back after a year and a high pick when it comes to letting Amare go. So, you are correct in saying that we would need a lot more than one high draft pick.

The players I want to keep form a blend of future reliable role players and starters. This would lead to several (5 or so) lean years. I have specifically used the term lean years several times before. We need to slog through a period like this and we need to stop trying to sustain mediocrity.

In my scenario, we get lottery picks for probably 4 or 5 years. We ought to utilize those picks the first 2 years, maybe trade down to add assets in year 3 and possibly 4 and if there is a year 5, we need to utilize that pick as well.

That's the road I want us to take....
 

AzStevenCal

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A protected pick is far from enough for Nash, considering we'd have to take back contracts on top of that from Toronto.

DeRozan and a pick, maaaybe..

I wasn't designing a trade merely suggesting what we could hope to net from the deal.

Steve
 

AzStevenCal

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The players I want to keep form a blend of future reliable role players and starters. This would lead to several (5 or so) lean years. I have specifically used the term lean years several times before. We need to slog through a period like this and we need to stop trying to sustain mediocrity.

I know you said it's what you want to see happen but surely you don't think the Suns would go that route, do you? And we have never tried to "sustain mediocrity" unless everything other than winning it all is mediocrity. Even if you define success in those limited terms there is no way this franchise will willingly set itself up for 5 years of bad basketball. They'd lose much of their fan base not to mention a lot of money along the way.

On one level I couldn't care less that this team has never won a championship. I want to see entertaining basketball and a group of players I can enjoy watching. Of equal importance, I need to see evidence that management is trying to put forth a product that at least has a chance to compete for a championship. For the most part, they've succeeded although they are right now at a crossroads and I have serious concerns as to whether they will continue that course.

The media and others have often compared Sarver to Sterling and while I find that ludicrous I'm worried that he may decide to go that direction. Sterling made money by minimizing expenses without concern for the end product (something we have NOT seen in Phoenix since JC took over, IMO). However, if they allow Amare to simply walk away it may signal the beginning of just that approach. Please note that I said "may signal" and not "will signal".

Steve
 

Mainstreet

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The media and others have often compared Sarver to Sterling and while I find that ludicrous I'm worried that he may decide to go that direction. Sterling made money by minimizing expenses without concern for the end product (something we have NOT seen in Phoenix since JC took over, IMO). However, if they allow Amare to simply walk away it may signal the beginning of just that approach. Please note that I said "may signal" and not "will signal".

Steve

Too tired to give you a history lesson. JC put a quality product on the court for the many years he ran the franchise. He made the best out of a small market team back then. Too bad the Suns would never get a franchise center. I don't know how you can compare him to Sterling who was more about money where JC was more about winning. Also you wouldn't even have been able to talk or watch the Phoenix Suns if he had not formed a group to purchase the Suns during the 1987 drug scandal. The Suns would have long been gone from Phoenix without JC.

You might want to look at the Suns record after 1987.

http://www.nbauniverse.com/teams/records_phoenix_suns.htm
 
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AzStevenCal

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Too tired to give you a history lesson. JC put a quality product on the court for the many years he ran the franchise. He made the best out of a small market team back then. Too bad the Suns would never get a franchise center. I don't know how you can compare him to Sterling who was more about money where JC was more about winning. Also you wouldn't even have been able to talk or watch the Phoenix Suns if he had not formed a group to purchase the Suns during the 1987 drug scandal. The Suns would have long been gone from Phoenix without JC.

You might want to look at the Suns record after 1987.

http://www.nbauniverse.com/teams/records_phoenix_suns.htm

Two things. I've been a Suns fan from the day they announced the franchise. Secondly, not to be rude but I'd suggest you actually read my post. We are not in disagreement.

Steve
 

Mainstreet

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Two things. I've been a Suns fan from the day they announced the franchise. Secondly, not to be rude but I'd suggest you actually read my post. We are not in disagreement.

Steve

This is the way I read the last paragraph in your post. Maybe I interpreted it differently than you meant. If we are on the same page regarding JC... great. I guess we are both a couple of long time fans. :thumbup:

JC built the foundation for the Suns winning tradition.
 

AzStevenCal

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This is the way I read the last paragraph in your post. Maybe I interpreted it differently than you meant. If we are on the same page regarding JC... great. I guess we are both a couple of long time fans. :thumbup:

JC built the foundation for the Suns winning tradition.

Yeah, we're on the same page with Jerry. I know there's no chance he'll be back with the Suns but I still hope for it nonetheless. He made mistakes but they were always in an attempt to better the team IMO.

Steve
 
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