Mitch
Crawled Through 5 FB Fields
First of all...as more and more time passes without any CBA progress...if and when free agency begins it looks very likely that the 2010 rules will apply, which means players like Deuce Lutui who head into their 6th year in the NFL will still be restricted and thus team tenders will apply.
The good news for the Cardinals in this scenario is that the following RFAs will likely be retained:
G Deuce Lutui
C Lyle Sendelin
WR Steve Breaston
NT Gabe Watson
DE Alan Branch
The not so good news is that the Cardinals would have to give up high draft picks to sign tendered players such as DE Ray Edwards, OLB/DE Charles Johnson, OLB/DE Mathias Kiwanuka, TE Zach Miller, TE Kevin Boss, etc.
Having done very little in the draft to upgrade the edge pass rush, if the 2010 rules apply, the Cardinals will not have very many reasonable choices or oppotunities to upgrade the edge rush in free agency.
Consider for a minute what current players the Cardinals could use in a 4 man rush---and when you do---the options are difficult to fathom. Ideally one would hope for a quartet of Acho, Dockett, Campbell and Schofield---however...having watched more and more tape of Sam Acho, it seems very clear to me that he is going to have a very difficult time providing pressure off the edge as a rookie.
At the Senior Bowl, for example, Acho made one great play on his first snap---upon the snap, LT Nate Solder expected Acho to rush the edge, so Solder fannned out. Instead, Acho made no first step and stayed stationary---and when he saw it was a pass, because Solder had fanned out he saw he could take an inside route to the QB Jake Locker. Acho fired the inside gap and stripped Locker of the football. It was a great play---but it would be the one and only great play he would make all day---in fact, he never got decent pressure on the QB the rest of the game.
Why?
Solder and then Anthony Castonzo played Acho inside out from that point forward, thus taking away the inside route to the QB and thereby forcing Acho to rush to the outside---and that's where he got stood up, stopped half way into his rush and stonewalled repeatedly. The thing is---Acho lacks the quick first step off the edge that the very good edge rushers need and rely on. Acho is a hard worker and is a determine athlete---so he will work hard to improve his skills---but it is going to take some time.
As for O'Brien Schofield...the question will be, can he be an effective edge rusher at RDE in the 4 man rush. We don't know the answer to this yet. However, the natural concern here is whether Schofield will get engulfed by the LTs in that role. In the 5 man front, Schofield, because of his quickness off the edge and because the angle to the QB is better, should be able to get consistent pressure...but from the standard RDE in a 4 man rush, the task will be much more challenging as he wil be facing long-armed LTs who are taller and 40-50 pounds heavier.
This leads us to Joey Porter. At this point, even though he is being over-paid, the Cardinals really have no choice but to retain him in the hope that he can be an effective edge rusher at RDE in the 4 man rush. I don't think it will be wise for them to demand a salary reduction because they will run the risk of losing him---and the remaining free agent options are sparse to say the least.
Clark Haggans will most likely remain the starter at SOLB, although it may be time for Will Davis to beat him out as the two down starter---but the Cardinals have to find a better option at LDE in the 4 man rush, as edge rushing is not one of Haggans' or Davis' strength.
Acho, as I avowed, will be diligent...but may not be able to be effective in the role this soon. When he builds up his overall strength, I believe he will be able to become an effective bull rusher---but this is not going to happen overnight.
Brandon Sharpe is the wild card. He is a natural pass rusher with a nice symmetry of upper and lower body strength---and when I watch him on tape he reminds me quite a bit of Jabaal Sheard the edge SOLB/DE who was picked at #37 by the Browns. I believe Sheard is NFL ready...so it is my greatest hope that Sharpe can fill that role.
Otherwise---the lack of pure talent on the edge will force new DC Ray Horton to rush five and sometimes six players from a variety of positions and angles.
The point is---the Cardinals still do not have a formidible 4 man rush.
In studying the small list of pass rushers who have more than 6 years of NFL experience, and thus cannot be tendered, only one player stands out to me and that is Shaun Ellis (6-5, 290, 33, 12, Tennessee) of the Jets. Ellis would be a good fit in the 34DE rotation and could be one answer at DE on the 4 man rush.
I also wonder if Darnell Dockett can manifest John Randle type versatility this year and side over to LDE in the 4 man rush. That would be a great option if Dockett can embrace the role.
Obviously the other most pressing need is at QB---and we have discussed all the options at length.
The best option, imo, is trading for Carson Palmer---and I think the Cardinals have a very good chance of acquiring him provided Mike Brown decides to trade him. With much uncertainty with regard to the Bengals' re-signing of RB Cedric Benson, were the Cardinals to offer Beanie Wells as part of the trade packege, this may give the Cardinals the inside track.
However, Mike Brown is, well, Mike Brown. He's about as stubborn an owner as there is and he may decide to string Palmer out and force him into returning or retiring (as he has avowed to do should there be no trade).'
This is where I am starting to shift my focus toward a player we habven't talked as much about, but one who, imo, makes more sense than Kevin Kolb or Kyle Oton.
After watching several tapes of Matt Flynn (6-2, 225, 25, 4, LSU) of the Packers---I came away thinking he is a great fit in Whiz's dink and dunk. What convinced me was Flynn's performance versus the Patriots this past season where he was 24/37 @ 64.9% for 251 yards and 3 TDs versus 1 interception.
Flynn had a ringside seat for the epic playoff game---Warner versus Rodgers---two years ago---so he knows how efficent and productive the Cardinals' offense can be when the QB is hot---
Flynn also is very familiar with his old Tiger teammate WR Early Doucet---and it sure would be nice to finally get a good year from him.
What I am not so sure of is whether the Packers would trade him to the Cardinals, perhaps out of fear of meeting the Cardinals in the playoffs again at some point.
But, the Packers realize as the Eagles and Broncos do that with one year remaining in their young QBs' contracts (Kolb, Orton and Flynn), that now is the time to get good value in return.
Other Acquisitions:
LT Matt Light (6-4, 305, 11, Purdue/Patriots). Exactly the LT type we need. This will allow the Cardinals to shift Levi Brown down to LG, where he could be dynamic).
G Reggie Wells (6-4, 312, 9, Clarion/Eagles). Good insurance in case Levi Brown struggles at guard. Reggie remains a good fit in the dink and dunk.
NT Chris Hoke (6-2, 305, 11, BYU/Steelers). Ideal backup NT who knows the defense inside and out.
SILB Nick Barnett (6-2, 236, 29, 9, Oregon St./Packers). With the Packers' re-sigining of A.J. Hawk, Barnett becomes available. Has struggled with injuries---but is good to go and would provide the inside quickness, strength and pop the defense needs.
34DE/DE Shaun Ellis (6-5, 290, 33, 12, Tennessee/Jets). His versaility and pass rushing quickness would be a major asset.
CB Ike Taylor (6-2, 195, 9, La.-Lafeyette/Steelers). Will be the QB of the secondary and would pave the way for the Cardinals to trade DRC.
Trades:
1A-RB Beanie Wells & the 2012 5th round pick to the Bengals for QB Carson Palmer.
or---
1B-The 2012 2nd round and 2013 5th round pick (conditional---could be a 4th if Flynn achieves certain performance levels) to the Packers for QB Matt Flynn.
2- CB Dominique Rodgers-Cromartie to the Texans for OLB/DE Brooks Reed, TE/HB James Casey, S Troy Nolan and the Texans'2012 3rd round pick.
Roster:
QB (3): Palmer (or Flynn), Skelton, Bartel (or Hall)
RB (3): Hightower, Williams, Stephens-Howling
FB (1): Sherman
WR (6): Fitzgerald, Breaston, Doucet, Roberts, Williams, Komar
TE (3): Housler, Casey, Dray
OL(9): Light, Brown, Sendlein, Lutui, Keith, Bridges, Wells, Hadnot, Pestock
NT (2): Williams, Hoke
DE (4): Dockett, Campbell, Ellis, Branch (or Iwebema)
ILB (4): Barnett, Washington, Lenon, Sturdivant (or Walker)
OLB (6): Haggans, Schofield, Porter, Reed, Acho, Davis (or Sharpe)
CB (5): Taylor, Peterson, Toler, Jefferson, Adams
S (4): Wilson, Rhodes, Johnson, Nolan
ST (3): Feely, Graham, Leach
PS (8): RB Alfonso Smith, WR DeMarco Sampson, G Zach Hurd, NT Ian Williams, LB Nicolas Bellore, LB Mark Herzlich, CB Marshay Green, S Joe Legefed.
The good news for the Cardinals in this scenario is that the following RFAs will likely be retained:
G Deuce Lutui
C Lyle Sendelin
WR Steve Breaston
NT Gabe Watson
DE Alan Branch
The not so good news is that the Cardinals would have to give up high draft picks to sign tendered players such as DE Ray Edwards, OLB/DE Charles Johnson, OLB/DE Mathias Kiwanuka, TE Zach Miller, TE Kevin Boss, etc.
Having done very little in the draft to upgrade the edge pass rush, if the 2010 rules apply, the Cardinals will not have very many reasonable choices or oppotunities to upgrade the edge rush in free agency.
Consider for a minute what current players the Cardinals could use in a 4 man rush---and when you do---the options are difficult to fathom. Ideally one would hope for a quartet of Acho, Dockett, Campbell and Schofield---however...having watched more and more tape of Sam Acho, it seems very clear to me that he is going to have a very difficult time providing pressure off the edge as a rookie.
At the Senior Bowl, for example, Acho made one great play on his first snap---upon the snap, LT Nate Solder expected Acho to rush the edge, so Solder fannned out. Instead, Acho made no first step and stayed stationary---and when he saw it was a pass, because Solder had fanned out he saw he could take an inside route to the QB Jake Locker. Acho fired the inside gap and stripped Locker of the football. It was a great play---but it would be the one and only great play he would make all day---in fact, he never got decent pressure on the QB the rest of the game.
Why?
Solder and then Anthony Castonzo played Acho inside out from that point forward, thus taking away the inside route to the QB and thereby forcing Acho to rush to the outside---and that's where he got stood up, stopped half way into his rush and stonewalled repeatedly. The thing is---Acho lacks the quick first step off the edge that the very good edge rushers need and rely on. Acho is a hard worker and is a determine athlete---so he will work hard to improve his skills---but it is going to take some time.
As for O'Brien Schofield...the question will be, can he be an effective edge rusher at RDE in the 4 man rush. We don't know the answer to this yet. However, the natural concern here is whether Schofield will get engulfed by the LTs in that role. In the 5 man front, Schofield, because of his quickness off the edge and because the angle to the QB is better, should be able to get consistent pressure...but from the standard RDE in a 4 man rush, the task will be much more challenging as he wil be facing long-armed LTs who are taller and 40-50 pounds heavier.
This leads us to Joey Porter. At this point, even though he is being over-paid, the Cardinals really have no choice but to retain him in the hope that he can be an effective edge rusher at RDE in the 4 man rush. I don't think it will be wise for them to demand a salary reduction because they will run the risk of losing him---and the remaining free agent options are sparse to say the least.
Clark Haggans will most likely remain the starter at SOLB, although it may be time for Will Davis to beat him out as the two down starter---but the Cardinals have to find a better option at LDE in the 4 man rush, as edge rushing is not one of Haggans' or Davis' strength.
Acho, as I avowed, will be diligent...but may not be able to be effective in the role this soon. When he builds up his overall strength, I believe he will be able to become an effective bull rusher---but this is not going to happen overnight.
Brandon Sharpe is the wild card. He is a natural pass rusher with a nice symmetry of upper and lower body strength---and when I watch him on tape he reminds me quite a bit of Jabaal Sheard the edge SOLB/DE who was picked at #37 by the Browns. I believe Sheard is NFL ready...so it is my greatest hope that Sharpe can fill that role.
Otherwise---the lack of pure talent on the edge will force new DC Ray Horton to rush five and sometimes six players from a variety of positions and angles.
The point is---the Cardinals still do not have a formidible 4 man rush.
In studying the small list of pass rushers who have more than 6 years of NFL experience, and thus cannot be tendered, only one player stands out to me and that is Shaun Ellis (6-5, 290, 33, 12, Tennessee) of the Jets. Ellis would be a good fit in the 34DE rotation and could be one answer at DE on the 4 man rush.
I also wonder if Darnell Dockett can manifest John Randle type versatility this year and side over to LDE in the 4 man rush. That would be a great option if Dockett can embrace the role.
Obviously the other most pressing need is at QB---and we have discussed all the options at length.
The best option, imo, is trading for Carson Palmer---and I think the Cardinals have a very good chance of acquiring him provided Mike Brown decides to trade him. With much uncertainty with regard to the Bengals' re-signing of RB Cedric Benson, were the Cardinals to offer Beanie Wells as part of the trade packege, this may give the Cardinals the inside track.
However, Mike Brown is, well, Mike Brown. He's about as stubborn an owner as there is and he may decide to string Palmer out and force him into returning or retiring (as he has avowed to do should there be no trade).'
This is where I am starting to shift my focus toward a player we habven't talked as much about, but one who, imo, makes more sense than Kevin Kolb or Kyle Oton.
After watching several tapes of Matt Flynn (6-2, 225, 25, 4, LSU) of the Packers---I came away thinking he is a great fit in Whiz's dink and dunk. What convinced me was Flynn's performance versus the Patriots this past season where he was 24/37 @ 64.9% for 251 yards and 3 TDs versus 1 interception.
Flynn had a ringside seat for the epic playoff game---Warner versus Rodgers---two years ago---so he knows how efficent and productive the Cardinals' offense can be when the QB is hot---
Flynn also is very familiar with his old Tiger teammate WR Early Doucet---and it sure would be nice to finally get a good year from him.
What I am not so sure of is whether the Packers would trade him to the Cardinals, perhaps out of fear of meeting the Cardinals in the playoffs again at some point.
But, the Packers realize as the Eagles and Broncos do that with one year remaining in their young QBs' contracts (Kolb, Orton and Flynn), that now is the time to get good value in return.
Other Acquisitions:
LT Matt Light (6-4, 305, 11, Purdue/Patriots). Exactly the LT type we need. This will allow the Cardinals to shift Levi Brown down to LG, where he could be dynamic).
G Reggie Wells (6-4, 312, 9, Clarion/Eagles). Good insurance in case Levi Brown struggles at guard. Reggie remains a good fit in the dink and dunk.
NT Chris Hoke (6-2, 305, 11, BYU/Steelers). Ideal backup NT who knows the defense inside and out.
SILB Nick Barnett (6-2, 236, 29, 9, Oregon St./Packers). With the Packers' re-sigining of A.J. Hawk, Barnett becomes available. Has struggled with injuries---but is good to go and would provide the inside quickness, strength and pop the defense needs.
34DE/DE Shaun Ellis (6-5, 290, 33, 12, Tennessee/Jets). His versaility and pass rushing quickness would be a major asset.
CB Ike Taylor (6-2, 195, 9, La.-Lafeyette/Steelers). Will be the QB of the secondary and would pave the way for the Cardinals to trade DRC.
Trades:
1A-RB Beanie Wells & the 2012 5th round pick to the Bengals for QB Carson Palmer.
or---
1B-The 2012 2nd round and 2013 5th round pick (conditional---could be a 4th if Flynn achieves certain performance levels) to the Packers for QB Matt Flynn.
2- CB Dominique Rodgers-Cromartie to the Texans for OLB/DE Brooks Reed, TE/HB James Casey, S Troy Nolan and the Texans'2012 3rd round pick.
Roster:
QB (3): Palmer (or Flynn), Skelton, Bartel (or Hall)
RB (3): Hightower, Williams, Stephens-Howling
FB (1): Sherman
WR (6): Fitzgerald, Breaston, Doucet, Roberts, Williams, Komar
TE (3): Housler, Casey, Dray
OL(9): Light, Brown, Sendlein, Lutui, Keith, Bridges, Wells, Hadnot, Pestock
NT (2): Williams, Hoke
DE (4): Dockett, Campbell, Ellis, Branch (or Iwebema)
ILB (4): Barnett, Washington, Lenon, Sturdivant (or Walker)
OLB (6): Haggans, Schofield, Porter, Reed, Acho, Davis (or Sharpe)
CB (5): Taylor, Peterson, Toler, Jefferson, Adams
S (4): Wilson, Rhodes, Johnson, Nolan
ST (3): Feely, Graham, Leach
PS (8): RB Alfonso Smith, WR DeMarco Sampson, G Zach Hurd, NT Ian Williams, LB Nicolas Bellore, LB Mark Herzlich, CB Marshay Green, S Joe Legefed.