Browns on the clock, again?
New quarterbacks, same results?
After a winless 2017 campaign, the FPI has labeled the Browns as the most likely team to earn the No. 1 pick in the 2019 draft, though frankly, a lot of the factors involved in that prediction can change substantially. Despite having
Tyrod Taylor -- whom the model likes -- as their likely starter to begin the season, the Browns have a 14 percent chance to earn the top pick in the 2019 draft.
For Browns fans looking for some hope, there's this: The FPI currently considers
Baker Mayfield the backup and treats all rookie quarterbacks the same. That's because there's quite a bit of uncertainty about quarterbacks who have never taken a snap in the NFL, but it also means that if Mayfield plays and plays effectively, that projection can change in a hurry. Of course, there's no guarantee that will happen.
Cleveland Browns 14% 48%
New York Jets 12% 43%
Arizona Cardinals 9% 37%
Miami Dolphins 9% 37%
New York Giants 7% 31%
Indianapolis Colts 6% 28%
Tampa Bay Buccaneers 6% 29%
Washington Redskins 6% 27%
Cincinnati Bengals 5% 27%
Chicago Bears 5% 27%
The Jets are in a similar situation, with
Josh McCown labeled as the starter and
Sam Darnold set as the backup. In the FPI's opinion, the Jets would be best off with
Teddy Bridgewater starting under center, though it doesn't explicitly consider Bridgewater's injury.
