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kerouac9 said:The key to all this is whether or not Marcel Shipp (or another running back) can step up and be successful out of an empty backfield. I think that Josh can be successful, but not by himself. Unless there's a running game that can be the foundation of the offense (at least for a year or two), Josh won't be allowed to develop, because he'll be pressing to make plays.
I think that part of the reason that Brady's matured into the QB that he is now is because Antowain Smith had a career season Brady's rookie year, and the offense went through Smith. This allowed Brady to become comfortable as a QB without having to be a centerpiece. I think that as a "point guard" that distributes the ball to everyone, Josh McCown can succeed this season with a QB rating in the mid-80s. But as the nexus of the offense, I think McCown will fall apart. After two years, Josh might be able to take the reins, but right now the kid's just not ready.
The other thing is you just can't begin to compare the college careers of Brady and Josh, Brady played in constant competition with Griese and Henson, in a bigtime school against bigtime competition, huge crowds and tons of pressure. And Brady excelled, he wasn't the son of a QB or the bigtime recruit, but he played well enough that they kept playing him. Faced with a huge challenge where a lot of guys would have transferred, he stuck it out and succeeded.
Josh was in a totally different environment, didn't pan out, and transferred to a school that would let him air it out. Smart move but put Josh at Michigan when Brady was there and I'm betting he transfers from there too.
he has the talent, he's the perfect guy for someone like Green and Kruczek to teach, but once you're named the starter you are under the microscope, I'm just not sure how Josh will react. I see him as a guy who will either be a big success, or a flop, I'm hoping it's the former and not the latter. Jake for all his faults never lacked self confidence, nobody ever had to tell Jake he could play, or that he belonged, or that he was the starter, Josh is quite different and that is really interesting to me.