playstation said:
in this series, if you're allegiance lies with the suns, you cheer for the pistons, because it increases the chances of Kobe coming here over the summer. Or so I've been brainwashed to believe.
If I really believed that, I'd be rooting hard for the Lakers, but I honestly don't see it making much of a difference either way.
Actually, I do think the Lakers' role players will step up and make some shots in game 4. In game 3, they weren't used to playing in the Palace or having the Pistons give them open shots, but in game 4 they'll know what to expect. Fisher, George, and Rush will all be lining up shots from 3-point range even before they're open, and for that matter, Rick Fox and "Byron" Russell will be ready too, if either of them gets in the game.
To me, it looks like the Lakers' offense will depend on getting those guys open, which means getting the ball to Shaq in the post and Kobe for the drive-and-dish. If Malone and Payton aren't out there being completely ineffective, it will help the Lakers' offense immensely; we'll have to see how many minutes those two get, and whether they can hit open jumpers while they're out there.
The main thing the Lakers need to do is get their half-court offense set up early. If they can get the ball down the court before the Pistons set up their jams and traps, they should score a lot more than 68 points tonight.
That still might not be enough to win, of course. The Lakers' defense has taken a huge hit with Malone out, and if the officiating tightens up tonight, they'll take another hit from that. If things go as I think they might, the Pistons won't have any excuse for not scoring at least 100 points, which would put them in a great position to win game 4.
The key on offense for the Pistons will be Rasheed Wallace, who put up four points in game 3 when he should have been scoring at will. He should get at least 20 shots tonight, shooting off of picks-and-fades and posting up smaller, weaker defenders; I'm not going to hold my breath waiting for that to actually happen, of course.
That means that it will be up to Billups and Hamilton to drive the Pistons' offense by scoring and distributing off of picks. They'll probably need to score more than they did in the last game to win.
I think this game will be tightly officiated early, with a lot of fouls committed by both sides. The Lakers need game 4 more--with Malone hurt, there's no way they can bring the intensity they'll need to win for three games in a row, and the Pistons have already proved they can win one in LA if they have to--but Detroit has the home court, and I don't think they'll lay down. The Pistons should win the rebounding and turnover battle again tonight.
Whichever team makes more of its shots and FTs is going to win. Looks like a coin flip to me...