I think there's a 90% chance Lebron re-signs with Miami ... I just don't see him wanting to leave, even if he'll have a better chance to win a ring somewhere else
If he does though, I honestly think Phoenix is not just possible ... but the front-runner - Have people forgotten that Lebron is his own man and doesn't care what everyone else thinks? He has stated this repeatedly, yet so many people are clinging on the notion that he wants to go to a big market team, or a team w/ "superstar faces", like LAC, HOU, or CHI ...
Lerbon is not stupid - he realizes that for the next 4 - 8 years, a PHX team that won 48 games last year w/ young players / Draft Picks, etc. ( ... Can go on - great coach, GM, ZERO bad contracts, young stars) is a better option for him than a 54 win team in the Rockets, or a 57 win Clippers team -minus DeAndre Jordan (who would be gone), etc, etc. ...
The fact that Houston has "names" such as Dwight Howard and James Harden, while everyone on Phoenix is overlooked, doesn't mean anything to him ... If anything, he would probably prefer the "under-the-radar" team like PHX if he cares a little bit about his "legacy / What people think" - The backlash if he went to a star-studded team or hated team would be huge ... I don't think any fan out there hates the Suns and Lebron might even be credited for "starting something new" w/ a young team
PHX is one of the few teams, maybe the only 1, that literally can just plug him right into the rotation w/o losing anybody ... That's important - The other suitors have to "blow up" their team a bit or lose their depth in the process; I don't think Lebron wants to go through another 1-2 year process of a whole team learning how to play with each other like he did w/ Miami ...
Again though, I think he's staying in Miami ... But if not, I think Phoenix is the front-runner ... It's meaningless that they're not the "front-runner" in the media (What some writer gathered from his "sources" is meaningless - Lebron is vacationing at the beach ... So what are these sources exactly?) Was Miami the front-runner for Lebron in 2010 - Did the "sources" indicate that?
All that matters is what Lebron thinks and since he's smart, I think if he leaves, he'll want to go to the Suns ...