I think if you all start just looking at the tape on Carter you will see. He has CP3 defensive chops. Yes. He was the Naismith Defensive Player of the Year. He is a bulldog. He is compact strong and relentless. Opposing guards will HATE to play against him. He is a distributor with 6.6 apg at WV. He also shot .389 and .393 from the three the last two years. The only knock on him is his size (6-2) with a 6-4.25 wingspan. But he got 3 spg in college as a senior. CP3 is 6-0 with a 6-4 wingspan and he does OK. Don't get me wrong. Carter is not the player CP3 is on offense. But he is the player he is on defense. And he still has an efficient offensive game. He has a PJ Tucker motor. He takes no prisoners on D. He is the perfect defensive complement to JJ. You can leave the small and medium sized guard to Carter while JJ guards the bigger athletic wings. Hide Booker on the less athletic guard or sf.
I am telling you. He will be the Brogdon of this draft. He will be the upper classman guard that everyone scratches their head and says "how did we miss that guy?" He will be perfect next to Booker. And the great beauty is that we likely won't even have to make any trades to get him.
I think you're ignoring or underplaying the fact he's a strong man playing against a lot of younger guys and he takes full advantage of it. It's also a very well coached defensive team surrounding him. And while he averaged 6.6 assists, that was only as a senior. His previous best was 3.7 his Junior season.
As for the Brogdon comparison, it's probably fairly accurate if you allow for the height and wingspan difference. But that's a significant difference and IMO it's the primary reason Brogdon is as capable as he is. And as capable as he is, the Bucks still went in search of a better starter at his position.
If he's there at 31, it wouldn't excite me but maybe it's worthwhile? But at 16, that's a real stretch IMO. He isn't going to drive and score all that often and he's going to be a fairly easy cover on the perimeter given his lack of quickness and mediocre shot. I just don't see him as a starter and unless we've solved that problem, I'd rather use the pick to get an actual starting PG.
And yes, Carter was the defensive player of the year (twice actually). But, IMO, in college that is a function of team far more often than not. Emeka Okafor won it twice too, as did Sheldon Williams and Hasheem Thabeet. A lot of players that failed to make a mark in the NBA won it also. Players such as Jim Mcllvaine, the same stiff that drove Shawn Kemp to his silly holdout.
A few of the NBA comps on him are Lindsey Hunter and Derek Fisher. I think they are reasonable comps but both players benefitted from playing in a league that still allowed forceful hand checks. If Fisher couldn't use his hands and body to re-direct the ball-handler, he'd have been out of the league more than a decade earlier.
I just don't see anything special with Jevon when you remove the advantages he has as an adult amongst boys. His lack of a first step, his poor ball-handling skills, his subpar finishing at the rim, questionable shot selection and unexciting measurements makes him a second round pick who will aspire to role player mediocrity if he makes the league at all. JMO.