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I guess you could ask which white guy (or two) is it going to be?
Nowitzki’s old
Porzingis is hurt, maybe for good
Hayward? Maybe.
Dragic? Nah he’s not that good (although he had a 30, 8 and 9 night last night).
Parsons? Nah.
Rubio. No.
Jokic - very possibly.
If Doncic is the best of all of them (and the consensus is he’s the best European prospect ever (prospect meaning potential, not product meaning nowitzki)) then there’s no reason to think he couldn’t be that guy.
But I hear you on the probabilities, they’re not exactly in his favour - but then how many 6’8” point guards, black or white, have there ever been.
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Trying to find the needle in the haystack is a horrible draft strategy.