Official Arizona Weather Thread

BirdMan21

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Ya looks like you had a little cell blow up right by you then dissapate. Its not looking like this is going to do much tonight. All the forecast models are predicting things to get really interesting Wednesday through the weekend. Saying Friday-Sunday could be really wet.
 

Gaddabout

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I was up in Heber/Overgaard this weekend. Rained every day and much of the night Friday night. Dropped down into the 50s Sunday morning. Sure was nice.
 

mojorizen7

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I would be curious to know how many of you posting in this thread are native to AZ or have been here for at least 30 yrs.
The weather(most notably the monsoon season)has changed dramatically over that period of time. Anymore the winter's are wetter than the summer's.
 

Lefty

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Storms building in the east valley...been watching all evening...might get some rain tonight!

Tucson getting hammered as usual.

It started to thunder and rain hard after 10:00PM last night. The news this morning said some areas received over an inch of rain. They are predicting a good chance of rain later today.
 

Lefty

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Had to drive home in a torrential downpour. I won't have to wash my car for awhile.:thumbup:
 

BirdMan21

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We are gonna have some big storms tonight. The storm prediction center has put us under a slight risk of severe storms and feel like things could get pretty big rolling off the rim.
 

Gaddabout

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I would be curious to know how many of you posting in this thread are native to AZ or have been here for at least 30 yrs.
The weather(most notably the monsoon season)has changed dramatically over that period of time. Anymore the winter's are wetter than the summer's.

The reality is there is no normal pattern to the Monsoonal changes. We like to think we've impacted them with global warming and what not, but I can assure you it's very, very, very hard to have even minimal impact on the kind of weather and geological changes taking place in the southwestern U.S.

As recently as 65 million years ago Arizona was in the last stages of being completely immersed under sea water. It spent hundreds of millions of years of various stages of inundation before finally emerging to the receding sea waters to the north. Utah's Salt Lake is essentially the last remnants of that era, but Arizona has dry land is a very recent condition in geologic history and 65 million years remains a blip on the radar if we're seriously considering weather patterns.

Our perception of what is "normal" around here is bound to change year-to-year, and little understood phenomena such as Southern Oscillation are driving changes a great deal more than things like heat islands.

Theoretically we could have 100 years of drought followed by 100 years of flooding and it wouldn't be considered a real trend. Possibly, with the melting of the arctic ice, we're seeing a trend back towards higher sea levels, but it's a trend only ancestors we couldn't even imagine existing might witness in grand changes.

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AZZenny

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Been here 25 years and only difference is that the monsoon season seems a little bit drier out my way and winters are definitely a little bit warmer, in terms of fewer killing frosts. I assume heat island effect is some of it.
 
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Mike Olbinski

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I'm getting a little rain here.
ANd that's about as much action as I'm going to get. :D

Yeah, looks like we've got some stuff in the valley, but the cell in south Chandler appears to be a bit too far south.
 

mojorizen7

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The reality is there is no normal pattern to the Monsoonal changes. We like to think we've impacted them with global warming and what not, but I can assure you it's very, very, very hard to have even minimal impact on the kind of weather and geological changes taking place in the southwestern U.S.
You go ahead and believe that.:raccoon:
If you want to trend out the last 65 million yrs and call the last 30 yrs an insignificant "blip" on the radar thats fine too. The monsoons in the Phoenix metropolitan area have turned to dust so to speak. The December showers are slowly becoming the "wetter" season.
More concrete,pollution=less rain in a desert climate.
 

HeavyB3

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NWS says that our best chance for rain yet starts today and goes through the weekend. Hopefully those storms that have been skirting buckeye make it in to town this time.
 

Linderbee

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It rained the day I moved last year...let's see if it does again this year...(moving tomorrow)
 

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Lots of stuff out there but it is all disappating, as usual, as it approaches the valley.
Thunder storm watch in effect until 10pm.
 
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Mike Olbinski

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Okay, looks like we got some major activity out there, all focusing on Phoenix...we could be in for a busy night.
 

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Seriously, I'm like a herion or crack addict waiting for the good stuff to arrive.

I need to cure my itch! :D
 
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