I think the better comp would be what percentage of coaches in the league are former players? If it’s 70% and 70% of the players are black then 1 of 32 teams just doesn’t compute, does it? If the percentage of HCs is an even higher number of former players it gets worse and worse. I think that’s where the 70% of the league being black comes into play, because it’s the primary breeding grounds for future head coaches.
Except it's really not and that but is diminishing more as time goes on
The post earlier about being able to grind as a GA and build a network while young is important
Belichick - multistport athlete at Wesleyan - Dad assistant coach at Navy - took a low paying assistant job with Colts and spent 15 years on various staffs as different assistants
Tomlin - played at William & Mary - Dad played in CFL - started as WR coach at BMI, then grad assistant at Memphis - 6 years in college before NFL position coach - another 5-6 years in NFL then HC
McVay - played at Miami (OH). Dad played collegiately, grandfather coached NFL. Started as NFL position coach 1 year, worked with Jay Gruden 2 years in UFL, back to NFL under M. Shannahan, stayed on that staff under Jay Gruden - 9 seasons to HC
Kingsbury - played TT - bounced around NFL 4 seasons, barely played preseason and see action in 1 actual game - 1 season NFLE, 1 as 3rd string in CFL - started as quality control coach in Houston - 5 years assistant, 6 years college HC
Arthur Smith - played at North Carolina - son of FedEx founder - grad assistant at UNC 1 yr then Defense Quality Control Coach with Redskins, Ole Miss to Titans - 14 years coaching experience, mostly at places with ties to his dad or dad's business
Harbaugh - played Miami (OH) - Dad college level coach - assistant at Western Michigan - 13 years at college level before NFL assistant - 9 years at that level
McDermott - played at William & Mary with Tomlin - 1 year GA and then to eagles as a scouting coordinator then defensive quality control coach - 17 years NFL experience
Rhule - played at Penn St - started as GA and then worked 13 years as college assistant, 1 year NFL as a line coach - 6 years college head coach
Eberflus - walk on who played at Toledo - spent 9 years coaching there starting as student assistant - 8 years as Missouri then Browns LB coach - 13 years NFL assistant
Taylor - finished college playing at Nebraska - camp cut by Buccaneers and went to CFL as practice squad - 3 seasons as GA at Texas A&M, 4 working with QBs for Dolphins, 1 as OC & QB coach in college (Cincinnati) then 2 years with Rams
Stefanski - played at Penn (I actually saw him in college) - assistant at Penn then 13 years as Vikings assistant
McCarthy - played at Scottsdale CC then Baker - defensive GA at Fort Haynes State - volunteer coach without pay at Pitt (hometown) then GA and position coach - 6 total years in college - joined Chiefs as offensive Quality Control coach - 13 years NFL assistant
Hackett - played UC Davis - started of as assistant position coach there - 3 years college before Buccaneers assistant offense quality control coach - 4 years NFL - 4 years college at Syracuse under Marrone and followed him to Bills - 10 more years NFL assistant
Campbell - played Texas A&M - 3rd round pick - 11 year NFL career - started as coaching intern with Dolphins eventually interim coach there in yr 6 - added another 5 years NFL assistant
LaFleur - college Saginaw Valley St - 2 years indoor football - offense GA at SVS - coached with Salah at Central Michigan - 5 years college then offensive assistant with Texans - 6 years NFL - 2 Notre Dame - 4 more NFL assistant
Reich - played at Maryland - 13 year NFL career - started as offensive assistant with Colts - 10 years as NFL assistant
Reid - played community college then BYU - was BYU grad assistant - 10 year college assistant then Packers assistant offense line & TE coach - 8 year NFL assistant
McDaniels - played at John Carroll around a high number of others that have current NFL and college ties - his dad was a prominent HS coach - GA at Michigan State under Saban - after 2 years joined Patriots as personnel assistant - 8 years then NFL assistant - fired after 2 seasons then another 10 as NFL assistant
Staley - played at Dayton & Merceyhurst - 3 years as a GA at Northern Illinois - 11 years as collegiate level with last stop at John Carroll - joined Bears as outside LB coach - 4 year NFL assistant
Daboll - played at Rochester - one HS teammate coaches with LSU and another is an exec with Eagles - was restricted earnings coach at William & Mary then a GA at Michigan State for 2 years, the 2nd of which with McDaniels - Patriots took him as a defensive assistant - 15 year NFL assistant then to Alabama with Saban again for a year- then 4 with the Bills
Saleh - played at Northern Michigan - started as an assistant TE coach with Michigan State - 4 years in college then defensive intern with Texans - 15 years as NFL assistant
Sirianni - played at Mount Union then 1 year indoor - started as defensive backs coach at Mount Union - after 5 years in college joined Chiefs as offensive quality control, he knew Haley from attending the same YMCA back when he was in college - 12 years NFL assistant
Shanahan - played at Texas - Dad is NFL coach - GA at UCLA - then TB as offensive quality control - 13 year NFL assistant
Carroll - played at junior college then Pacific - 3 years as GA at Pacific, then a GA at Arkansas after a friend convinced Holtz to pick him up - there he made connections with Ruel, Nutt & Muffin - 10 years in college then a DB coach with Bills - 10 year NFL assistant - Stanford hired Dennis Green over him - 1 year as Jets HC - 2 as NFL assistant - 3 as NE head coach - 8 years as USC head coach then back to NFL
Arians - played at Virginia Tech - 3 year GA at VA Tech - had 7 years of college experience then Temple HC for 6 seasons - Chiefs RB coach 3 seasons (Cowher on staff) - then college for 2 - Saints 1 - Alabama 1 - Colts as QB coach - 14th year as NFL assistant in this stint became interim HC then Cards HC
Rivera - played at Cal then NFL for 9 seasons - after some time in media, joined Bears as a defensive quality control coach - 13 year NFL assistant then HC
Vrabel - played at Ohio State then 14 year NFL career - 3 year defensive assistant at Ohio State, 3 years with Texans then HC
FWIW Flores played at BC and came up through the Patriots starting in scouting
Wilks played college then worked in banking before becoming DC at a small school and working his way through - many years/stops tied to Rivera
Bowles played at Temple under Arians then 7 year NFL career - 3 year college assistant then 14 year NFL assistant
Caldwell played at Iowa, then was a GA there and followed the similar part
Morris is similar - played at Hofstra, then a GA there - 3 years college - 3 NFL - 1 college - 2 college then HC - starting to cycle around again
Not many NFL coaches were prominent college players, let alone NFL
For NFL players many who go into coaching had solid mid-level careers then work through the ranks - Leslie Frazier is an example - guys live Kris Richard, Kellen Moore, Ken Dorsey, etc are following that mold
I think the talking point about the league being 70% black is meaningless - it's going to be the exception that as notable player goes into coaching
Look at the collegiate pool, non-power 5
Provide an incentive for GA jobs in college, quality control coaches in the NFL, etc - this is the most common path walked