Amare32
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WESTERN CONFERENCE QUARTERFINALS-GAME 1
Memphis Grizzles (0-0) @ Phoenix Suns(0-0)
When: Saturday 24th April
Time: 7.30 PT
Location: Phoenix
TV: TNT
Probable Playoff Starting Lineups:
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Jason Williams/Steve Nash
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Mike Miller/Joe Johnson
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Shane Battier/Quentin Richardson
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Pau Gasol/Shawn Marion
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Lorenzen Wright/Amare Stoudemire
Injury Report
Grizzles
None to report
Suns
None to report
Amare32's Game 1 Prediction Matchups:
Point Guards
Jason Willams Vs Steve Nash
This will be an excellent matchup. Two very quick point guards who know how to run the offense and pass the ball. But a lot of pressure will be on Jason Williams to try to slow down Nash. Can he play like a point guard and not be careless with the basketball? Or can he play within the Memphis offense and try to help the 8th seed grizzles steal a game in Phoenix? Willams will need to pressure Nash and force him to guard him inside and outside. That said Williams will need to do a great job on Nash to stop him from running the show and getting the fastbreak going and feeding guys like Amare, Marion, JJ and Q. Steve Nash is obviously the key guys for the Suns, he is the guy that makes things happen. Williams will need to try avoid getting destroyed on that pick and roll. If Williams doesn't control Nash then the Grizzles really don't have much of a shot.
Shooting Guards
Mike Miller Vs Joe Johnson
This is going to be a very good match-up, two very good shooting guards who have a habit of having big scoring nights when their team's need It. Both 40% + three-point shooters and both have no trouble getting their shots off. Both guys feed off their main big men Gasol and Amare. Both will need to bring their A game's for this game and the series. The one guy who can help make a different in this series to beat Phoenix is Mike Miller. If he can give the Grizzles 15-20 points then they Grizzles will have a chance at the upset. Joe Johnson is a good defender and can give Miller trouble, I don't think you could same the same with Miller.
Small Forwards
Shane Battier Vs Quentin Richardson
This is a match-up of different styles and roles. Shane Battier is your typical hard working, defensive minded guy who has proven to be quite a player in the clutch. He will always give you consistant numbers. A good shooter who can always provide a big stop when you need It. Quentin Richardson on the other hand is the heart and sole of the Suns team and the guy who can go 0-7 from three and then hit 5 or 6 in a row. He is very streaky and knows he wil keep shooting no matter what. He has been a good post-up player and a very good rebounder for his size and position. What each guy gives his team will be very important. Battier must defend Richardson and not let him get off early in the game. Like wise with Q If he defends Battier, he can't not underrate his offensive skills as he is more than capable offensive scorer.
Power Forwards
Pau Gasol V Shawn Marion
Another match-up of different styles and sizes. Gasol the 7'0 who can hit the jump shot and post up inside will be a tough cover for Shawn. Dealing with Gasol's length could be tough but If there is any guy who can defend the bigger forwards It is Marion. Who is known as a very tough man to man defender. As much of a problem as Gasol will give Marion, Marion will give Gasol even more problems on the other end. Marion can knock down the three and If you try and guard him out there will completely blow by you. Gasol has to find some ways to get Marion in foul trouble on the offensive end. It is questionable If Gasol will even guard Marion but in terms of starting 5, he may have to for some periods of the game.
Centers
Lorenzen Wright Vs Amare Stoudemire
If there was a huge mis-match in this series, this is certainly It. Amare should simply destroy Wright in all areas of the game. Weight is a soild big man who can rebound and pick up the garbage but Amare is simply a freak. A great offensive player who doesn't really seem to be able to be stopped. Only real fault is he doesn't play great defense and doesn't always rebound the ball the way he can but offensivey he is unstoppable to stop. Wright will really need to just make life tough for him as much as possible but the reality is this match-up will not be pretty.
Benches
Obviously the Grizzles have the advantage here. They might just have the deepest bench in the NBA. Guys like Bonzi Wells, Earl Watson, Stromile Swift, Brian Cardinal are very good players to have off your bench and they will clearly bring more production than what the Suns have to offer. Jim Jackson and Barbosa will be the main guys off the Suns bench along with Walta. JJ will need to use his playoff experience to give the Suns a boost off that bench and maybe play some point guard when Nash needs extended rest If Barbosa isn't on either. Barbosa has been playing great ball lately and has done producting since he came back from injury. Those two guys will need to give the team as much as possible.
Key's to the game
Grizzles
- Attack the basket and try and get Amare and Marion in foul trouble. Use the size to your advantage inside.
- Let Gasol go to work inside and give him the ball downlow for him to get good position. He will have shots available to him and he must take the ball strong to the hoop
- Jason Williams must control the point guard spot and not let Steve Nash run the show and get easy fastbreak buckets. Nash is the engine that runs the Suns and contending him will give the Grizzles a better chance of stealing game 1.
- Playing tough hard nosed defense like they have done most of the season is a must. The Grizzles this year made Phoenix struggle abit shooting the ball and will need to keep them from their shooting their normal 48% shooting from the floor.
Suns
- Keep the Grizzles to one shot per offense. Suns problems this year has been giving teams way too many offensive rebounds which has hurt them at times. Controlling the boards will be a key factor in getting this series off to a good start.
- Feed the ball to Amare and let him take advantage of his mis-match inside. Wright will not be able to guard him one on one and should blow by him with ease. Which will force cazr to make some match-up changes rather quickly
- Steve Nash must as always look to push the ball and get easy fastbreak points. The Grizzles are a good defensive team so any chance you can get them out of their halfcourt set, It's always a good thing.
- Bench production will be important as you know Memphis's bench will give them plenty when they enter the game. Jimmy Jackson, Barbosa and Walta will need to give the Suns that spark off the bench and of course the crowd in their first playoff game for a couple of years must go crazy and get behind their team.
Final thoughts and predictions
The NBA playoffs are finally here and here we have the Phoenix Suns as the overall number 1 seed and have homecourt not only in the west but throughout. Was quite a regular season performance winning 62 games and winning over 30 at home and on the road. Certainly not an easy feat.
Now we move on to the first round and the Suns will face the Memphis Grizzles who edged out the Timberwolves for that final 8th spot. Their form to end the season has hardly been great. However they are still a very talented team who are very deep, well coached and play good team defense. They certainly won't be an easy team for the Suns to beat.
Game 1 will obviously be a huge game and a win is needed for the home fans with this being the first playoff home game for a couple of years and several years since we start the series off with a game at home.
The Grizzles will want to spoil the party and seal game 1, the away team always look to steal 1 of 2 going back home. Thats what the Grizzles job will be. The Suns mist start strong and take It to the Grizzles and make a point early on.
I see the Suns and Grizzles staying close for 3 quarters but the Suns overall talent will see them through in the 4th quarter and take a much needed win to start the series off on the right foot. As the number 1 seed the last thing you want to do is embarass yourself by losing game 1 against the 8th seed.
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