Wk 1 Arizona Cardinals @ Washington Commanders Pre-Game Thread. 8/26/23-9/09/23

[RON_IN_OC]

Ron, then why is the spread only around seven points? It's not like we have KM at QB.

They have deficiencies on offense...lots of unknowns with Bienemy, too.

 

[HairZach]

Ron, then why is the spread only around seven points? It's not like we have KM at QB.

NFL games rarely have a spread larger than 7, plus there are too many unknowns in week 1.

I think Commanders are a team that could be very good this year and will be very motivated. I will be surprised if we don't lose 24-3

 

[CardNots]

Ron, then why is the spread only around seven points? It's not like we have KM at QB.

Plus the home team usually gets +3 for a home game unless you are the Cardinals then they deduct 3

 

[slanidrac16]

I think we will blitz a lot. If we can somehow manage getting them in 2nd and long or 3rd in long we will bring the heat.
I know it’s a big if.

 

[BritCard]

How many would be shocked if we won this?

Washington likely to finish 4th in the East. Sam Howell is unlikely to be a good QB. He's in his 1st start as the chosen one trying to hold off Brissett, the pressure is all on him at home with the team under new ownership.

The Cards in contrast are big underdogs, they have little to lose and no pressure.

I think it would be a nice surprise, but it wouldn't be shocking.

 

[daves]

the home team usually gets +3 for a home game

That hasn't been true for a long time.

 

[Stout]

Agreed. I think the game plan for this game and the entire season rests more on the defense and the schemes Rallis can dial up. They may be outmatched with talent, but good schemes and fundamentals can close the gap.

If we're relying on the defense to keep us in the games, we're really screwed.

 

[Garthshort]

That hasn't been true for a long time.

daves, please explain.

 

[daves]

daves, please explain.

I've written about it a few times... Home teams haven't won by close to 3 points in about 10 years now, and the oddsmakers certainly know it!

WK 4-Arizona Cardinals @ LA Rams Pre Game Thread Sept 27 - Oct 2, 2021

You'd think we were 0-3 with the comments here! 3.5 point spread in LA tells me all I need to know. Little positivity wouldn't kill ya! Gonna be a good one. Measuring stick. Go Cards!

www.arizonasportsfans.com

 

[CFLredzoned]

It seems like turnovers or QB problems will play a huge role. Like whoever's QB is the biggest disaster will lose.

 

[jf-08]

I've written about it a few times... Home teams haven't won by close to 3 points in about 10 years now, and the oddsmakers certainly know it!

WK 4-Arizona Cardinals @ LA Rams Pre Game Thread Sept 27 - Oct 2, 2021

You'd think we were 0-3 with the comments here! 3.5 point spread in LA tells me all I need to know. Little positivity wouldn't kill ya! Gonna be a good one. Measuring stick. Go Cards!

www.arizonasportsfans.com

Clicking through all that was like one of those old choose your own adventure stories.

 

[Lead Commander]

Looking forward to next sunday cardinal fans but i'm afraid your team will run into a buzzsaw on sept.10th at 1pm...

 

[jf-08]

Looking forward to next sunday cardinal fans but i'm afraid your team will run into a buzzsaw on sept.10th at 1pm...

Yeah, I'm not too hopeful.

 

[BullheadCardFan]

Yeah, I'm not too hopeful.

It will be a good test of the character of the team and coaching staff

How will they respond to going against a well coached team?

 

[FB94]

It feels like both teams will have the same gameplan. Each have inexperienced QBs so the run game will try to carry the load. Limit passing attempts. On defense the same, stop the run and make ‘‘em pass.

 

[Lead Commander]

I hope your dline is strong cause EB will protect Sam Howell early with power runs right up the gut with Brian Robinson and Antonio Gibson then start utilizing crossing routes to set you up for the Big Shot this is just the offense I haven't even started on what I expect My Defense to do to your offense..Don't focus on the Commanders being a last place team cause they miss the playoffs by 1 game being in last and had terrible I mean terrible QB PLAY last season..If Howell plays average ball against your team it will get ugly...

 

[Garthshort]

I've written about it a few times... Home teams haven't won by close to 3 points in about 10 years now, and the oddsmakers certainly know it!

WK 4-Arizona Cardinals @ LA Rams Pre Game Thread Sept 27 - Oct 2, 2021

You'd think we were 0-3 with the comments here! 3.5 point spread in LA tells me all I need to know. Little positivity wouldn't kill ya! Gonna be a good one. Measuring stick. Go Cards!

www.arizonasportsfans.com

 

[Garthshort]

Very few Cardinals' fans expect us to have much success, this year. But, you have to feel for the Washington fans IF they expect Sam Howell to be an average NFL QB.

 

[Lead Commander]

Very few Cardinals' fans expect us to have much success, this year. But, you have to feel for the Washington fans IF they expect Sam Howell to be an average NFL QB.

You miss interpreted my post I didn't say Sam Howell is just a average QB I say if he plays just average against your CARDS it will get ugly for your team...

 

[Garthshort]

You miss interpreted my post I didn't say Sam Howell is just a average QB I say if he plays just average against your CARDS it will get ugly for your team...

Sorry, so do you or don't you think that Howell will be an average NFL QB, this season?

 

[Lead Commander]

Sorry, so do you or don't you think that Howell will be an average NFL QB, this season?

I think he will be above average to very good in his first year as the starter with the potential to be Great but not Elite...

 

[Garthshort]

Hope for your sake (and mine, other than our game) I hope you're correct. But it does seem that Las Vegas is not in agreement.

 

[BirdGangThing]

You must be registered for see images attach

 

[football karma]

Looking forward to next sunday cardinal fans but i'm afraid your team will run into a buzzsaw on sept.10th at 1pm...

i think other teams fans showing up here might be surprised by how low the expectations are for the local team

 

[daves]

Clicking through all that was like one of those old choose your own adventure stories.

OK, here's an up to date article that will just take you one click.

NFL Betting Strategy: Home-Field Advantage (2022)

Home-field advantage (HFA) is the inherent benefit each team has when playing in their home stadium. In the NFL, a rough estimate of seasonal HFA can be calculated by differentiating point totals between the home-team and the visitor; last season, league-wide HFA settled near 1.7 points. The...

www.google.com

Bottom line: overall, regular season HFA has been under 3 points for 1-2 decades, and has been between 1-2 points lately. It was negative (i.e. visiting teams outscored home teams) in 2019-2020.