Just because someone comes from a certain "tree", doesn't, in my mind, mean that they will be an automatic success or failure. I'm sure a lot of it has to do with the person himself, and the qualities that they possess and can impart to their people.
Exactly. One reason I think people are pulling from certain 'trees' is that the trunk may be good at creating new branches.
Some of these guys like to surround themselves with similar offensive minds/personal traits. Then they spend a few years bouncing ideas back and forth while developing gameplans, breaking down film, scouting guys, etc.
It's up to prospective teams to discover whether or not that person can go it alone. A guy could be an important part of someone elses success and not necessarily able to be that themselves. Or maybe they could be, but don't have the ability to surround themselves with such assistants of a quality to do it because they aren't good at seeing it in assistants.
When one of these guys leaves, guys like Reid find another guy with similar ideas/traits and brings him into the fold. So I think it's valid to look in these places, but we have to have the chops to be able to tell if any of these guys are viable. Do we have that? I don't know. I do think there is valid hope IF the rumor that Keim wanted McVay is true. IF he had the ability to identify him, he might have it for one of these other guys.
It is important for us imo that with our horrible offense and the direction that NFL offenses are heading towards, that we find a guy capable of emulating the offensive trend and hopefully sets trends on top of that. That would be the goal. Maybe not achievable, but the ideal to strive for.
I also agree that having a background as a QB likely contributes to a deeper understanding of how to create/sustain a succesful offense in the NFL. But that doesn't mean he has to of been one.
Alot of these trees are filled with former QB's. Arians was a QB. Even our college interview Kingsbury was a QB and tried for a number of years to make it professionally. NFL, NFL Europe, CFL. Once he retired, he went from quality control to head coach of a big 12 school in five years. Explosive offenses every stop along the way at three different colleges.
It's interesting that Sumlin was considered to be an up and coming college coach, but he hasn't done very well since Kingsbury left to be his own head coach. Maybe Kingsbury was the secret sauce propelling Sumlin?
He's a guy who recruited and signed Mahomes. Manziel played his best with him. He helped make Webb and Keenum into NFL players.
I just see a guy who seems to make people better when he's around, and when he's not, some of these guys (players/coaches) don't do as well. The ones that are either have supreme talent and/or are with similar offensive minds.
He seems to have a pulse on what is going on, and has been in part a creator of it. He may be nothing or the next McVay/Nagy/etc. But the guy definitely is hitting all the checkmarks of someone that could be the next guy. Isn't that what we hoping for? A guy who legitimately checks some of those boxes? He may be out there and interviewing with us.
Whoever we get for coach, I simply hope they have 'it'.