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  1. H

    Raptors @ Suns

    I did watch the game and what I saw was that when they got the Amare-Calderon mismatch and fed the ball in to Amare, Calderon stole the ball twice and also drew an offensive foul.
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    ReHashed Trade Rumors

    Regarding Ford, I live in Toronto, and while I haven't followed the Raptors that closely for a couple of years now, I still watch about 10 games a season, and I have several friends who are diehards. My impression is that people around these parts think TJ is a decent player, and they have no...
  3. H

    What are the odds of those three teams getting the top three picks?

    Oops, yeah, thanks for catching that error.
  4. H

    What are the odds of those three teams getting the top three picks?

    I'm pretty sure wikipedia is wrong here and that using the odds for the Bucks landing at #6 is correct.
  5. H

    What are the odds of those three teams getting the top three picks?

    Actually, I don't think that is right, since those probabilities aren't independant. The straightforward way to do this is to enumerate the different ways Portland, Seattle, and Atlanta can end up in the top three, calculate the probability of each, and sum them up. That's doable because there...
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    NBA Draft Lottery Preview

    Those are the overall odds. I was calculating the odds for the scenario where nobody from 5-13 moved up.
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    NBA Draft Lottery Preview

    If 1-4 stay in the top 4 positions, my back-of-the-envelope calculations show: Atlanta at #1 = 16.4% Atlanta at #2 = 19.4% Atlanta at #3 = 24.9% Atlanta at #4 = 39.3%
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    NBA Draft Lottery Preview

    It depends on how and when you make that statement. If you ask the question "What are the odds that for the next 20 drafts, the #4-ranked lottery team never wins the #1 pick?", you would be correct in saying that the odds are quite low. If you ask the question "What are the odds that, given that...
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    The Atlanta Pick is starting to look really scary for us

    One amusing thing about this is that both the Pacers and the Hawks have an incentive to lose this game (apart from the Hawks wanting to improve their odds at landing a top 3 pick). The Pacers owe the Hawks a first rounder this year due to the Al Harrington trade. However, the pick is top-10...
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    Joe Johnson interview

    If Sarver went in prepared to make a counteroffer, then changed his mind because Tellem was being a jerk, that's not caving in, that's letting your pride get the best of you. All I really wanted to say is that if someone wants to say that JJ should have sucked up his pride to make these...
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    Joe Johnson interview

    Just because JJ and his agent "demanded" the max doesn't necessarily mean they expected the max, or felt JJ deserved the max. It's only common sense that when you enter negotiations, your opening position is higher than what you're willing to accept. Maybe JJ was overly sensitive over...
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    Insider 8/26/2005 Six gunners among free agents

    You've definitely hit upon one of the major problems with the replacement-level concept, which is that at the end of the day, it's hard not to be completely arbitrary when setting it. Although I haven't completely thought this through, I also think that the idea of replacement-level has more...
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    Insider 8/26/2005 Six gunners among free agents

    Thanks for the welcome! I must admit that I am much more comfortable with analysis of baseball statistics than analysis of basketball statistics. The idea of replacement-level arose in baseball analysis so that you could correctly answer questions like the following: Which is the more...
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    Insider 8/26/2005 Six gunners among free agents

    "Mediocre" was a poor choice of words on his part. "Replacement-level" typically means the level of player that the average team can obtain with zero cost (which generally means one of the worst players in the league, or for example, in baseball, about the level of an average AAA player)...
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    Not out of the woods yet JJ

    I haven't seen any of these previous discussions, but there's probably some confusion arising due to terminology in the old CBA. Teams whose total salary is below the cap are still treated by the NBA as "over the cap" if the sum of their salaries plus available exceptions is above the cap...

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