I don't think TJ Warren is some budding star but I think the dude is going to have a legit career. He can score. So far its more of an old school SF's game, but within 15 feet the guy is a legit offensive weapon and near the hoop he is deadly. Unfortunately he has not shown the ability to do anything else as of yet, the near total lack of rebounding is especially concerning.
But I think he will develop a 3pt shot. He has displayed a very soft touch, he has good hands and he does not take stupid shots. His ability to finish around the basket is other-worldly. That skill was brought up in the Archie Goodwin debate (he stinks around the hoop) but TJ is excellent at finishing near the rim.
This is an article mentioning his interior scoring prowess pre-draft.
http://grantland.com/the-triangle/n...for-the-second-tier-of-first-round-prospects/
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Once a guy is in the NBA I typically scoff at bringing up their college numbers to claim some NBA level prowess but TJ Warren's scoring ability has translated.
And here is his shot chart from last season:
http://nbasavant.com/player.php?player_id=203933
A hair under 70% on the interior in the NBA, and with a pretty big chunk of shot attempts there given his PT. That is a legitimate
elite skill. I know the word "elite" those numbers for Warren on the interior it fits the bill.
So far he is not well rounded enough as a player to warrant much hyperbole about his long term outlook, but this isn't a guy who will be in Europe in a few years or someone we're going to consider dumping to save salary. IMO he will be a legit NBA rotation player and if he can add another dimension or two to his game (serviceable defense... decent outside shooting) he will become a quality starter.